EAAI Journal 2026 Journal Article
A spatio-temporal graph attention prediction method for coal spontaneous combustion temperature integrating time-frequency domain lag features
- Shuang Li
- Ningke Xu
Coal spontaneous combustion is one of the main causes of mine fires, and accurate prediction of coal spontaneous combustion temperature is the key to preventing coal spontaneous combustion from occurring. Existing methods for predicting spontaneous coal combustion temperature have limited feature extraction capabilities and ignore the spatial correlation that exists between spontaneous coal combustion temperature and other variables. In order to accurately predict the coal spontaneous combustion temperature, this paper proposed a residual correction prediction method of coal spontaneous combustion temperature based on spatio-temporal graph attention mechanism with time-frequency domain lag feature fusion. In the two-dimensional domain, the time-frequency domain lag feature fusion method is proposed for the first time. In the three-dimensional domain, the spatial characteristics are extracted based on the improved graph convolution network, and the multi-channel information of the data is fully exploited through parallel dilated convolutional operations and the channel attention mechanism. Finally, the prediction results of the baseline model are corrected by residuals using the Crossformer model. The practical application results in coal mining enterprises show that, compared with the traditional baseline model, the mean absolute error, root mean square error, and mean absolute percentage error prediction error indicators of the proposed method have an average reduction of 9. 91, 10. 50, and 7. 79 respectively, and the coefficient of determination value has increased by 7. 43 %. Therefore, the method proposed in this study has better applicability and prediction accuracy, which can effectively prevent coal mine accidents and promote the sustainable development of the coal mining industry.