TimeEmb: A Lightweight Static-Dynamic Disentanglement Framework for Time Series Forecasting

Temporal non-stationarity, the phenomenon that time series distributions change over time, poses fundamental challenges to reliable time series forecasting. Intuitively, the complex time series can be decomposed into two factors, i. e. , time-invariant and time-varying components, which indicate static and dynamic patterns, respectively. Nonetheless, existing methods often conflate the time-varying and time-invariant components, and jointly learn the combined long-term patterns and short-term fluctuations, leading to suboptimal performance facing distribution shifts. To address this issue, we initiatively propose a lightweight static-dynamic decomposition framework, TimeEmb, for time series forecasting. TimeEmb innovatively separates time series into two complementary components: (1) time-invariant component, captured by a novel global embedding module that learns persistent representations across time series, and (2) time-varying component, processed by an efficient frequency-domain filtering mechanism inspired by full-spectrum analysis in signal processing. Experiments on real-world datasets demonstrate that TimeEmb outperforms state-of-the-art baselines and requires fewer computational resources. We conduct comprehensive quantitative and qualitative analyses to verify the efficacy of static-dynamic disentanglement. This lightweight framework can also improve existing time-series forecasting methods with simple integration. To ease reproducibility, our code is available at https: //github. com/showmeon/TimeEmb.

Authors

• Mingyuan Xia
• Chunxu Zhang Key Laboratory of Symbolic Computation and Knowledge Engineering of Ministry of Education, Jilin University
• Zijian Zhang University of Pennsylvania
• Hao Miao Aalborg University
• Qidong Liu City University of Hong Kong Xi’an Jiaotong University
• Yuanshao Zhu City University of Hong Kong
• Bo Yang Information Engineering University

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