Gridded Transformer Neural Processes for Spatio-Temporal Data

Effective modelling of large-scale spatio-temporal datasets is essential for many domains, yet existing approaches often impose rigid constraints on the input data, such as requiring them to lie on fixed-resolution grids. With the rise of foundation models, the ability to process diverse, heterogeneous data structures is becoming increasingly important. Neural processes (NPs), particularly transformer neural processes (TNPs), offer a promising framework for such tasks, but struggle to scale to large spatio-temporal datasets due to the lack of an efficient attention mechanism. To address this, we introduce gridded pseudo-token TNPs which employ specialised encoders and decoders to handle unstructured data and utilise a processor comprising gridded pseudo-tokens with efficient attention mechanisms. Furthermore, we develop equivariant gridded TNPs for applications where exact or approximate translation equivariance is a useful inductive bias, improving accuracy and training efficiency. Our method consistently outperforms a range of strong baselines in various synthetic and real-world regression tasks involving large-scale data, while maintaining competitive computational efficiency. Experiments with weather data highlight the potential of gridded TNPs and serve as just one example of a domain where they can have a significant impact.

Authors

• Matthew Ashman
• Cristiana Diaconu
• Eric Langezaal
• Adrian Weller
• Richard E. Turner

Keywords

• neural process
• probabilistic machine learning
• transformer
• spatio-temporal data
• spatio-temporal modelling
• translation equivariance