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Xinjiang Lu

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8 papers

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TIST Journal 2025 Journal Article

Towards Predicting Urban Land Use Changes: A Dynamic Graph Alignment Perspective

Yu Fan
Xinjiang Lu
Hao Liu
Pengfei Wang
Liang Liu
Huadong Ma
Jingbo Zhou

Urban land use, intrinsically linked to people’s daily activities, undergoes continuous evolution, presenting a complex interplay that remains partially understood. To bridge this gap, our study leverages fine-grained human mobility data to predict these changes, adopting a novel approach that conceptualizes “community-level” land use shifts as a regression problem and represents citywide changes through dynamic graphs. We harness recent advancements in graph neural networks (GNNs), which, despite their success in various applications, face challenges in directly predicting land use changes due to the temporal mismatch between the slow evolution of urban land and the immediacy of human mobility data. Our research stands out by introducing a temporal skeleton for dynamic GNNs to synchronize human activity graphs with urban land use changes, a dynamic heterogeneous GNN approach for integrating diverse human activity data to capture essential temporal dependencies, and a novel algorithm powered by causal inference to elucidate the primary factors influencing land use predictions at the community level, all of which contribute to a training process informed by the generated causal graph. Empirically validated on three real-world datasets, our model demonstrates a performance leap over state-of-the-art baselines, marking a pivotal step toward understanding and predicting the dynamics of urban land use.

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AAAI Conference 2024 Conference Paper

Explainable Origin-Destination Crowd Flow Interpolation via Variational Multi-Modal Recurrent Graph Auto-Encoder

Qiang Zhou
Xinjiang Lu
Jingjing Gu
Zhe Zheng
Bo Jin
Jingbo Zhou

Origin-destination (OD) crowd flow, if more accurately inferred at a fine-grained level, has the potential to enhance the efficacy of various urban applications. While in practice for mining OD crowd flow with effect, the problem of spatially interpolating OD crowd flow occurs since the ineluctable missing values. This problem is further complicated by the inherent scarcity and noise nature of OD crowd flow data. In this paper, we propose an uncertainty-aware interpolative and explainable framework, namely UApex, for realizing reliable and trustworthy OD crowd flow interpolation. Specifically, we first design a Variational Multi-modal Recurrent Graph Auto-Encoder (VMR-GAE) for uncertainty-aware OD crowd flow interpolation. A key idea here is to formulate the problem as semi-supervised learning on directed graphs. Next, to mitigate the data scarcity, we incorporate a distribution alignment mechanism that can introduce supplementary modals into variational inference. Then, a dedicated decoder with a Poisson prior is proposed for OD crowd flow interpolation. Moreover, to make VMR-GAE more trustworthy, we develop an efficient and uncertainty-aware explainer that can provide explanations from the spatiotemporal topology perspective via the Shapley value. Extensive experiments on two real-world datasets validate that VMR-GAE outperforms the state-of-the-art baselines. Also, an exploratory empirical study shows that the proposed explainer can generate meaningful spatiotemporal explanations.

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NeurIPS Conference 2022 Conference Paper

Generative Time Series Forecasting with Diffusion, Denoise, and Disentanglement

Yan Li
Xinjiang Lu
Yaqing Wang
Dejing Dou

Time series forecasting has been a widely explored task of great importance in many applications. However, it is common that real-world time series data are recorded in a short time period, which results in a big gap between the deep model and the limited and noisy time series. In this work, we propose to address the time series forecasting problem with generative modeling and propose a bidirectional variational auto-encoder (BVAE) equipped with diffusion, denoise, and disentanglement, namely D3VAE. Specifically, a coupled diffusion probabilistic model is proposed to augment the time series data without increasing the aleatoric uncertainty and implement a more tractable inference process with BVAE. To ensure the generated series move toward the true target, we further propose to adapt and integrate the multiscale denoising score matching into the diffusion process for time series forecasting. In addition, to enhance the interpretability and stability of the prediction, we treat the latent variable in a multivariate manner and disentangle them on top of minimizing total correlation. Extensive experiments on synthetic and real-world data show that D3VAE outperforms competitive algorithms with remarkable margins. Our implementation is available at https: //github. com/PaddlePaddle/PaddleSpatial/tree/main/research/D3VAE.

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AAAI Conference 2021 Conference Paper

Community-Aware Multi-Task Transportation Demand Prediction

Hao Liu
Qiyu Wu
Fuzhen Zhuang
Xinjiang Lu
Dejing Dou
Hui Xiong

Transportation demand prediction is of great importance to urban governance and has become an essential function in many online applications. While many efforts have been made for regional transportation demand prediction, predicting the diversified transportation demand for different communities (e. g. , the aged, the juveniles) remains an unexplored problem. However, this task is challenging because of the joint influence of spatio-temporal correlation among regions and implicit correlation among different communities. To this end, in this paper, we propose the Multi-task Spatio- Temporal Network with Mutually-supervised Adaptive task grouping (Ada-MSTNet) for community-aware transportation demand prediction. Specifically, we first construct a sequence of multi-view graphs from both spatial and community perspectives, and devise a spatio-temporal neural network to simultaneously capture the sophisticated correlations between regions and communities, respectively. Then, we propose an adaptively clustered multi-task learning module, where the prediction of each region-community specific transportation demand is regarded as distinct task. Moreover, a mutually supervised adaptive task grouping strategy is introduced to softly cluster each task into different task groups, by leveraging the supervision signal from one another graph view. In such a way, Ada-MSTNet is not only able to share common knowledge among highly related communities and regions, but also shield the noise from unrelated tasks in an end-to-end fashion. Finally, extensive experiments on two real-world datasets demonstrate the effectiveness of our approach compared with seven baselines.

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TIST Journal 2021 Journal Article

Exploring the Risky Travel Area and Behavior of Car-hailing Service

Hongting Niu
Hengshu Zhu
Ying Sun
Xinjiang Lu
Jing Sun
Zhiyuan Zhao
Hui Xiong
Bo Lang

Recent years have witnessed the rapid development of car-hailing services, which provide a convenient approach for connecting passengers and local drivers using their personal vehicles. At the same time, the concern on passenger safety has gradually emerged and attracted more and more attention. While car-hailing service providers have made considerable efforts on developing real-time trajectory tracking systems and alarm mechanisms, most of them only focus on providing rescue-supporting information rather than preventing potential crimes. Recently, the newly available large-scale car-hailing order data have provided an unparalleled chance for researchers to explore the risky travel area and behavior of car-hailing services, which can be used for building an intelligent crime early warning system. To this end, in this article, we propose a Risky Area and Risky Behavior Evaluation System (RARBEs) based on the real-world car-hailing order data. In RARBEs, we first mine massive multi-source urban data and train an effective area risk prediction model, which estimates area risk at the urban block level. Then, we propose a transverse and longitudinal double detection method, which estimates behavior risk based on two aspects, including fraud trajectory recognition and fraud patterns mining. In particular, we creatively propose a bipartite graph-based algorithm to model the implicit relationship between areas and behaviors, which collaboratively adjusts area risk and behavior risk estimation based on random walk regularization. Finally, extensive experiments on multi-source real-world urban data clearly validate the effectiveness and efficiency of our system.

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AAAI Conference 2021 Conference Paper

Modeling Heterogeneous Relations across Multiple Modes for Potential Crowd Flow Prediction

Qiang Zhou
Jingjing Gu
Xinjiang Lu
Fuzhen Zhuang
Yanchao Zhao
Qiuhong Wang
Xiao Zhang

Potential crowd flow prediction for new planned transportationsites is a fundamental task for urban planners and administrators. Intuitively, the potential crowd flow of the new comingsite can be implied by exploring the nearby sites. However, the transportation modes of nearby sites (e. g. bus stations, bicycle stations) might be different from the target site (e. g. subway station), which results in severe data scarcity issues. To this end, we propose a data-driven approach, named MOHER, to predict the potential crowd flow in a certain mode for a new planned site. Specifically, we first identify the neighbor regions of the target site by examining the geographical proximity as well as the urban function similarity. Then, to aggregate these heterogeneous relations, we devise a cross-mode relational GCN, a novel relation-specific transformation model, which can learn not only the correlations but also the differences between different transportation modes. Afterward, we design an aggregator for inductive potential flow representation. Finally, an LTSM module is used for sequential flow prediction. Extensive experiments on realworld data sets demonstrate the superiority of the MOHER framework comparedwith the state-of-the-art algorithms.

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AAAI Conference 2021 Conference Paper

Out-of-Town Recommendation with Travel Intention Modeling

Haoran Xin
Xinjiang Lu
Tong Xu
Hao Liu
Jingjing Gu
Dejing Dou
Hui Xiong

Out-of-town recommendation is designed for those users who leave their home-town areas and visit the areas they have never been to before. It is challenging to recommend Pointof-Interests (POIs) for out-of-town users since the out-oftown check-in behavior is determined by not only the user’s home-town preference but also the user’s travel intention. Besides, the user’s travel intentions are complex and dynamic, which leads to big difficulties in understanding such intentions precisely. In this paper, we propose a TRAvel- INtention-aware Out-of-town Recommendation framework, named TRAINOR. The proposed TRAINOR framework distinguishes itself from existing out-of-town recommenders in three aspects. First, graph neural networks are explored to represent users’ home-town check-in preference and geographical constraints in out-of-town check-in behaviors. Second, a user-specific travel intention is formulated as an aggregation combining home-town preference and generic travel intention together, where the generic travel intention is regarded as a mixture of inherent intentions that can be learned by Neural Topic Model (NTM). Third, a non-linear mapping function, as well as a matrix factorization method, are employed to transfer users’ home-town preference and estimate out-of-town POI’s representation, respectively. Extensive experiments on real-world data sets validate the effectiveness of the TRAINOR framework. Moreover, the learned travel intention can deliver meaningful explanations for understanding a user’s travel purposes.

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IJCAI Conference 2020 Conference Paper

Why We Go Where We Go: Profiling User Decisions on Choosing POIs

Renjun Hu
Xinjiang Lu
Chuanren Liu
Yanyan Li
Hao Liu
Jingjing Gu
Shuai Ma
Hui Xiong

While Point-of-Interest (POI) recommendation has been a popular topic of study for some time, little progress has been made for understanding why and how people make their decisions for the selection of POIs. To this end, in this paper, we propose a user decision profiling framework, named PROUD, which can identify the key factors in people's decisions on choosing POIs. Specifically, we treat each user decision as a set of factors and provide a method for learning factor embeddings. A unique perspective of our approach is to identify key factors, while preserving decision structures seamlessly, via a novel scalar projection maximization objective. Exactly solving the objective is non-trivial due to a sparsity constraint. To address this, our PROUD adopts a self projection attention and an L2 regularized sparse activation to directly estimate the likelihood of each factor to be a key factor. Finally, extensive experiments on real-world data validate the advantage of PROUD in preserving user decision structures. Also, our case study indicates that the identified key decision factors can help us to provide more interpretable recommendations and analyses.

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