EAAI Journal 2026 Journal Article
Evaluating regional green development levels within an incentive effects-based multiple granular probabilistic linguistic combination evaluation method
- Xiaolu Zhang
The level of green development serves as a crucial indicator for evaluating the performance of local government officials. Implementing incentive-based measures can effectively enhance officials’ motivation to promote green development. This study aims to develop a multi-granular probabilistic linguistic combination evaluation method based on incentive effects to assess regional green development levels. Probabilistic linguistic term sets in multi-granular contexts are employed to represent the performances of evaluated objects. Novel probabilistic linguistic ranking methods are proposed, emphasizing relative positioning with respect to reference points. Two potent approaches are introduced to determine incentive reference points under different criteria. Incentive mechanisms within multi-granular probabilistic linguistic environments are implemented to reward or penalize objects based on incentive thresholds. Subsequently, four evaluation methods with distinct characteristics and advantages are adopted to assess regional green development levels from diverse perspectives. A consensus degree-based information fusion technique is designed to derive the combined evaluation results for the objects. Finally, the proposed method is applied to evaluate the green development levels of eleven cities. The results enable evaluators to clearly distinguish between rewards and penalties, and to accurately identify the strengths and weaknesses of different objects in terms of green development levels. Comparative and sensitivity analyses further validate the advantages and feasibility of the proposed approach.