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Robert Allison

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NeurIPS Conference 2025 Conference Paper

Conditional Distribution Compression via the Kernel Conditional Mean Embedding

Dominic Broadbent
Nick Whiteley
Robert Allison
Tom Lovett

Existing distribution compression methods, like Kernel Herding (KH), were originally developed for unlabelled data. However, no existing approach directly compresses the conditional distribution of *labelled* data. To address this gap, we first introduce the *Average Maximum Conditional Mean Discrepancy* (AMCMD), a metric for comparing conditional distributions, and derive a closed form estimator. Next, we make a key observation: in the context of distribution compression, the cost of constructing a compressed set targeting the AMCMD can be reduced from $\mathcal{O}(n^3)$ to $\mathcal{O}(n)$. Leveraging this, we extend KH to propose *Average Conditional Kernel Herding* (ACKH), a linear-time greedy algorithm for constructing compressed sets that target the AMCMD. To better understand the advantages of *directly* compressing the conditional distribution rather than doing so via the joint distribution, we introduce *Joint Kernel Herding* (JKH), an adaptation of KH designed to compress the joint distribution of labelled data. While herding methods provide a simple and interpretable selection process, they rely on a greedy heuristic. To explore alternative optimisation strategies, we also propose *Joint Kernel Inducing Points* (JKIP) and *Average Conditional Kernel Inducing Points* (ACKIP), which *jointly* optimise the compressed set while maintaining linear complexity. Experiments show that directly preserving conditional distributions with ACKIP outperforms both joint distribution compression and the greedy selection used in ACKH. Moreover, we see that JKIP consistently outperforms JKH.

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NeurIPS Conference 2023 Conference Paper

Leveraging Locality and Robustness to Achieve Massively Scalable Gaussian Process Regression

Robert Allison
Anthony Stephenson
Samuel F
Edward O Pyzer-Knapp

The accurate predictions and principled uncertainty measures provided by GP regression incur $O(n^3)$ cost which is prohibitive for modern-day large-scale applications. This has motivated extensive work on computationally efficient approximations. We introduce a new perspective by exploring robustness properties and limiting behaviour of GP nearest-neighbour (GPnn) prediction. We demonstrate through theory and simulation that as the data-size $n$ increases, accuracy of estimated parameters and GP model assumptions become increasingly irrelevant to GPnn predictive accuracy. Consequently, it is sufficient to spend small amounts of work on parameter estimation in order to achieve high MSE accuracy, even in the presence of gross misspecification. In contrast, as $n \rightarrow \infty$, uncertainty calibration and NLL are shown to remain sensitive to just one parameter, the additive noise-variance; but we show that this source of inaccuracy can be corrected for, thereby achieving both well-calibrated uncertainty measures and accurate predictions at remarkably low computational cost. We exhibit a very simple GPnn regression algorithm with stand-out performance compared to other state-of-the-art GP approximations as measured on large UCI datasets. It operates at a small fraction of those other methods' training costs, for example on a basic laptop taking about 30 seconds to train on a dataset of size $n = 1. 6 \times 10^6$.

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