Arrow Research search

Author name cluster

Predrag Klasnja

Possible papers associated with this exact author name in Arrow. This page groups case-insensitive exact name matches and is not a full identity disambiguation profile.

2 papers
1 author row

Possible papers

2

JMLR Journal 2024 Journal Article

Effect-Invariant Mechanisms for Policy Generalization

  • Sorawit Saengkyongam
  • Niklas Pfister
  • Predrag Klasnja
  • Susan Murphy
  • Jonas Peters

Policy learning is an important component of many real-world learning systems. A major challenge in policy learning is how to adapt efficiently to unseen environments or tasks. Recently, it has been suggested to exploit invariant conditional distributions to learn models that generalize better to unseen environments. However, assuming invariance of entire conditional distributions (which we call full invariance) may be too strong of an assumption in practice. In this paper, we introduce a relaxation of full invariance called effect-invariance (e-invariance for short) and prove that it is sufficient, under suitable assumptions, for zero-shot policy generalization. We also discuss an extension that exploits e-invariance when we have a small sample from the test environment, enabling few-shot policy generalization. Our work does not assume an underlying causal graph or that the data are generated by a structural causal model; instead, we develop testing procedures to test e-invariance directly from data. We present empirical results using simulated data and a mobile health intervention dataset to demonstrate the effectiveness of our approach. [abs] [ pdf ][ bib ] &copy JMLR 2024. ( edit, beta )

TMLR Journal 2023 Journal Article

Online model selection by learning how compositional kernels evolve

  • Eura Shin
  • Predrag Klasnja
  • Susan Murphy
  • Finale Doshi-Velez

Motivated by the need for efficient, personalized learning in health, we investigate the problem of online compositional kernel selection for multi-task Gaussian Process regression. Existing composition selection methods do not satisfy our strict criteria in health; selection must occur quickly, and the selected kernels must maintain the appropriate level of complexity, sparsity, and stability as data arrives online. We introduce the Kernel Evolution Model (KEM), a generative process on how to evolve kernel compositions in a way that manages the bias--variance trade-off as we observe more data about a user. Using pilot data, we learn a set of kernel evolutions that can be used to quickly select kernels for new test users. KEM reliably selects high-performing kernels for a range of synthetic and real data sets, including two health data sets.

v2026.09.13