KR Conference 2014 Conference Paper
- Pavlos Peppas
- Mary-Anne Williams
comparative plausibility is transitive. To better illustrate our point, let us focus on plausibility rankings 4 on possible worlds, called faithful preorders in (Katsuno and Mendelzon 1991). Suppose that two distinct possible worlds w1, w2 are equally plausible (or implausible) relative to the agents’ current belief state K. We shall denote this by w1 „ w2; formally, w1 „ w2 iff w1 ⊀ w2 and w2 ⊀ w1, where ă denotes the strict part of 4. Suppose now that w2 is equally plausible to a third world w3; i. e. w2 „ w3. In the AGM framework we automatically conclude that w1 „ w3. Economists on the other hand are more cautious. It has long been acknowledged in the area of preference modelling that transitivity is not always a natural property for indifference of preference. The following quote from (Luce 1956) illustrates the problem: A central result in the AGM framework for belief revision is the construction of revision functions in terms of total preorders on possible worlds. These preorders encode comparative plausibility: r ă r1 states that the world r is at least as plausible as r1. Indifference in the plausibility of two worlds, r, r1, denoted r „ r1, is defined as r ⊀ r1 and r1 ⊀ r. Herein we take a closer look at plausibility indifference. We contend that the transitivity of indifference assumed in the AGM framework is not always a desirable property for comparative plausibility. Our argument originates from similar concerns in preference modelling, where a structure weaker than a total preorder, called a semiorder, is widely consider to be a more adequate model of preference. In this paper we essentially re-construct revision functions using semiorders instead of total preorders. We formulate postulates to characterise this new, wider, class of revision functions, and prove that the postulates are sound and complete with respect to the semiorder-based construction. The corresponding class of contraction functions (via the Levi and Harper Identities) is also characterised axiomatically. “Find a subject who prefers a cup of coffee with one cube of sugar to one with five cubes (this should not be difficult). Now prepare 401 cups of coffee with p1 ` i{100q ¨ x grams of sugar, i = 0, 1, ¨ ¨ ¨, 400, where x is the weight of one cube of sugar. It is evident that he will be indifferent between cup i and cup i ` 1, for any i, but by choice he is not indifferent between i “ 0 and i “ 400. ”