EAAI Journal 2026 Journal Article
A smart computational framework for predicting mechanical and sustainability indicators and optimizing mix proportions of recycled rubber aggregate concrete
- Lang Lin
- Nuo Xu
- Di Yang
- Guangzhou Li
- Yiming Xiao
- Yong Yu
Recycled rubber aggregate concrete (RRAC), a sustainable composite in which end-of-life tire rubber replaces natural aggregates, aids waste reduction, conserves resources, lowers structural weight and enhances acoustic and energy-dissipation performance. Yet its wider deployment remains constrained by limited accuracy in predicting mechanical properties and by the inefficiency of conventional mix-design practices. This study thus introduces an integrated framework that unifies property prediction, sustainability assessment and mix-design optimization. A dataset of 1382 experiments was used to train compressive strength (f c) and elastic modulus (E) models using random forest, gradient-boosted regression trees, extreme gradient boosting (XGB), light gradient boosting machine and a Bayesian neural network, from which the top-performing model was identified. Model transparency was achieved through Shapley additive explanations, partial dependence plots and individual conditional expectation analysis. Life-cycle carbon emissions of RRAC were quantified, and particle swarm optimization was employed to balance f c, E and carbon footprint, yielding optimized mixture formulations. Key findings include: (a) Predictive models attained R 2 values of 0. 584–0. 759 for f c and 0. 674–0. 842 for E, with train-test gaps ≤0. 05, demonstrating solid accuracy and generalization, with XGB performing best. (b) Feature-importance analysis showed that f c was governed primarily by recycled fine-aggregate substitution, water-to-cement ratio, recycled coarse aggregate substitution, sand ratio and aggregate-to-cement ratio, with E following a similar hierarchy. (c) Particle swarm optimization produced mix designs that reconcile strength, stiffness and emissions. Relative to unoptimized mixtures, optimized RRAC lowered carbon emissions by 20 %–55 % without sacrificing mechanical performance, offering a robust pathway toward sustainable concrete design.