EAAI Journal 2026 Journal Article
A unified prediction framework for vehicle position and motion state based on transformer-gated recurrent unit and multi-task learning
- Xuliang Guo
- Hongfei Jia
- Qingyu Luo
- Qiuyang Huang
- Nan Wang
- Zixuan Mao
In complex traffic environments with the mixed driving of human-driven and autonomous vehicles, accurate prediction of the position and motion state of surrounding vehicles is crucial for autonomous vehicles to assess traffic risks and make safety planning decisions. However, existing methods neglect the significant differences in dynamic structures and temporal patterns exhibited by tasks in different directions when modeling the interdependencies between multiple tasks. To address this limitation, this paper adopts a direction-aware task division strategy, which functionally groups prediction tasks into lateral and longitudinal categories based on the motion direction, and proposes a multi-task unified prediction framework. The proposed framework consists of two parallel sub-models: the lateral task prediction model and the longitudinal task prediction model. This design achieves functional decoupling and avoids feature interference between tasks in different directions. Each sub-model adopts an architecture that integrates multi-task learning (MTL), Transformer, and Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) to enable feature sharing and correlation modeling between tasks in the same direction. This framework effectively addresses the limitations of existing methods for predicting vehicle position and motion state, and provides a systematic modeling perspective for multi-task prediction research in autonomous driving. Experiments on two real-world datasets demonstrate that the proposed unified prediction framework achieves highly accurate vehicle position and motion state prediction, significantly outperforming representative predictive methods. Furthermore, ablation experiments demonstrate the effectiveness of the key design features of the proposed framework.