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Matthew Budd

Possible papers associated with this exact author name in Arrow. This page groups case-insensitive exact name matches and is not a full identity disambiguation profile.

4 papers
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Possible papers

4

AAMAS Conference 2026 Conference Paper

Think Fast! Learning to Control Online Reasoning in Stochastic Environments

  • Matthew Budd
  • Bruno Lacerda
  • Nick Hawes

When an autonomous agent’s decision-making has resource costs or incurs potential real-world consequences, its performance can be improved by reasoning about its own decision-making process. This is known as metareasoning, and is a key capability of rational agents. However, existing metareasoning methods have significant limitations. Most apply only to the offline setting, controlling only how long the agent should think before executing its current best solution. Few methods exist for online metareasoning, where the agent can interleave thinking and acting, and these make strong simplifying assumptions that limit their performance. It is rarer still for methods to be applicable to stochastic problems, or to consider the effects of the environment on the agent’s planning process. In this work we extend a learning-based metareasoning method for probabilistic planning to the online setting. The framework enables the agent to learn when, where and how to think in order to make better decisions in stochastic environments. We demonstrate our method outperforming several baselines across two domain distributions, each highlighting different benefits of online metareasoning.

AAAI Conference 2024 Conference Paper

Stop! Planner Time: Metareasoning for Probabilistic Planning Using Learned Performance Profiles

  • Matthew Budd
  • Bruno Lacerda
  • Nick Hawes

The metareasoning framework aims to enable autonomous agents to factor in planning costs when making decisions. In this work, we develop the first non-myopic metareasoning algorithm for planning with Markov decision processes. Our method learns the behaviour of anytime probabilistic planning algorithms from performance data. Specifically, we propose a novel model for metareasoning, based on contextual performance profiles that predict the value of the planner's current solution given the time spent planning, the state of the planning algorithm's internal parameters, and the difficulty of the planning problem being solved. This model removes the need to assume that the current solution quality is always known, broadening the class of metareasoning problems that can be addressed. We then employ deep reinforcement learning to learn a policy that decides, at each timestep, whether to continue planning or start executing the current plan, and how to set hyperparameters of the planner to enhance its performance. We demonstrate our algorithm's ability to perform effective metareasoning in two domains.

IROS Conference 2022 Conference Paper

Probabilistic Planning for AUV Data Harvesting from Smart Underwater Sensor Networks

  • Matthew Budd
  • Georgios Salavasidis
  • Izzat Karnarudzaman
  • Catherine A. Harris
  • Alexander B. Phillips
  • Paul Duckworth
  • Nick Hawes
  • Bruno Lacerda

Harvesting valuable ocean data, ranging from climate and marine life analysis to industrial equipment monitoring, is an extremely challenging real-world problem. Sparse underwater sensor networks are a promising approach to scale to larger and deeper environments, but these have difficulty offloading their data without external assistance. Traditionally, offloading data has been achieved by costly, fixed communication infrastructure. In this paper, we propose a planning under uncertainty method that enables an autonomous underwater vehicle (AUV) to adaptively collect data from smart sensor networks in underwater environments. Our novel solution exploits the ability of sensor nodes to provide the AUV with time-of-flight acoustic localisation, and is able to prioritise nodes with the most valuable data. In both simulated experiments and a real-world field trial, we demonstrate that our method outperforms the type of hand-designed behaviours that has previously been used in the context of underwater data harvesting.

IROS Conference 2020 Conference Paper

Markov Decision Processes with Unknown State Feature Values for Safe Exploration using Gaussian Processes

  • Matthew Budd
  • Bruno Lacerda
  • Paul Duckworth
  • Andrew West
  • Barry Lennox
  • Nick Hawes

When exploring an unknown environment, a mobile robot must decide where to observe next. It must do this whilst minimising the risk of failure, by only exploring areas that it expects to be safe. In this context, safety refers to the robot remaining in regions where critical environment features (e. g. terrain steepness, radiation levels) are within ranges the robot is able to tolerate. More specifically, we consider a setting where a robot explores an environment modelled with a Markov decision process, subject to bounds on the values of one or more environment features which can only be sensed at runtime. We use a Gaussian process to predict the value of the environment feature in unvisited regions, and propose an estimated Markov decision process, a model that integrates the Gaussian process predictions with the environment model transition probabilities. Building on this model, we propose an exploration algorithm that, contrary to previous approaches, considers probabilistic transitions and explicitly reasons about the uncertainty over the Gaussian process predictions. Furthermore, our approach increases the speed of exploration by selecting locations to visit further away from the currently explored area. We evaluate our approach on a real-world gamma radiation dataset, tackling the challenge of a nuclear material inspection robot exploring an a priori unknown area.

v2026.09.13