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Marc Grimson

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5 papers

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AAAI Conference 2026 Conference Paper

LabelKAN - Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks for Inter-Label Learning: Avian Community Learning

Marc Grimson
Joshua Fan
Courtney L. Davis
Dylan van Bramer
Daniel Fink
Carla P. Gomes

Global biodiversity loss is accelerating, prompting international efforts such as the Kunming-Montreal Global Biodiversity Framework (GBF) and the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals to direct resources toward halting species declines. A key challenge in achieving this goal is having access to robust methodologies to understand where species occur and how they relate to each other within broader ecological communities. Recent deep learning-based advances in joint species distribution modeling have shown improved predictive performance, but effectively incorporating community-level learning, taking into account species-species relationships in addition to species-environment relationships, remains an outstanding challenge. We introduce LabelKAN, a novel framework based on Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks (KANs) to learn inter-label connections from predictions of each label. When modeling avian species distributions, LabelKAN achieves substantial gains in predictive performance across the vast majority of species. In particular, our method demonstrates strong improvements for rare and difficult-to-predict species, which are often the most important when setting biodiversity targets under frameworks like GBF. These performance gains also translate to more confident predictions of the species spatial patterns as well as more confident predictions of community structure. We illustrate how the LabelKAN leads to qualitative and quantitative improvements with a focused application on the Great Blue Heron, an emblematic species in freshwater ecosystems that has experienced significant population declines across the United States in recent years. Using the LabelKAN framework, we are able to identify communities and species in New York that will be most sensitive to further declines in Great Blue Heron populations. Our results underscore the critical importance of incorporating information on community assemblage in species distribution modeling. By leveraging species co-occurrence patterns, our approach offers deeper ecological insights and supports more informed conservation planning in the face of accelerating biodiversity loss. Beyond species distribution modeling, LabelKAN provides a principled approach to capturing inter-label connections and can generalize to diverse multi-label tasks. We hope it encourages further research on inter-label learning across domains.

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AAAI Conference 2026 Conference Paper

Scientifically-Interpretable Reasoning Network (ScIReN): Discovering Hidden Relationships in the Carbon Cycle and Beyond

Joshua Fan
Haodi Xu
Feng Tao
Md Nasim
Marc Grimson
Yiqi Luo
Carla P. Gomes

Soils have potential to mitigate climate change by sequestering carbon from the atmosphere, but the soil carbon cycle remains poorly understood. Scientists have developed process-based models of the soil carbon cycle based on existing knowledge, but they contain numerous unknown parameters and often fit observations poorly. On the other hand, neural networks can learn patterns from data, but do not respect known scientific laws, and are too opaque to reveal novel scientific relationships. We thus propose Scientifically-Interpretable Reasoning Network (ScIReN), a fully-transparent framework that combines interpretable neural and process-based reasoning. An interpretable encoder predicts scientifically-meaningful latent parameters, which are then passed through a differentiable process-based decoder to predict labeled output variables. While the process-based decoder enforces existing scientific knowledge, the encoder leverages Kolmogorov-Arnold networks (KANs) to reveal interpretable relationships between input features and latent parameters, using novel smoothness penalties to balance expressivity and simplicity. ScIReN also introduces a novel hard-sigmoid constraint layer to restrict latent parameters to prior ranges while maintaining interpretability. We apply ScIReN on two tasks: simulating the flow of organic carbon through soils, and modeling ecosystem respiration from plants. In both tasks, ScIReN outperforms or matches black-box models in predictive accuracy while greatly improving scientific interpretability -- it can infer latent scientific mechanisms and their relationships with input features.

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AAAI Conference 2025 Conference Paper

Constraint-aware Pareto Optimization for Tree-Structured Networks: Addressing Decarbonization Targets with Hydropower Expansion

Marc Grimson
Zhongdi Qu
Yue Mao
Aaron M Ferber
Felipe Siqueira Pacheco
Sebastian Heilpern
Hector Angarita
Alexander Flecker

Addressing global sustainability challenges as outlined by the United Nations (UN) Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) often requires navigating many potentially conflicting societal objectives simultaneously. For instance, increasing hydropower production enhances renewable energy supply but may adversely impact people and nature. Understanding these trade-offs is crucial, and the Pareto frontier - the set of solutions that cannot be improved with respect to one objective without negatively affecting another - is a valuable framework. Strategic hydropower planning concerns finding energy portfolios that achieve decarbonization targets, while balancing energy production with socioeconomic and environmental impacts. Previous work has considered exact and approximate algorithms for Pareto optimization for tree-structured networks, such as rivers, for hydropower planning. However, such approaches do not account for bounding constraints, such as realistic energy production targets, critical in real-world applications. Herein, we propose a novel approach for constraint-aware Pareto optimization for tree-structured networks, incorporating objective bounds to ensure more realistic and robust solution outcomes. We apply our constraint-aware Pareto approach to the strategic planning of hydropower expansion, considering energy bounds to adhere to the UN's net zero by 2050 decarbonization targets, in the Magdalena River basin, home to more than 80% of Colombia’s population. Our analysis demonstrates how lower and upper bounds can significantly modify the unconstrained Pareto frontier, revealing that feasible Pareto solutions can be dominated by infeasible solutions, and thus may be ignored by constraint-agnostic solvers. Our results highlight the importance of considering real-world constraints in multi-objective problems such as optimizing hydropower expansion to meet both energy and sustainability goals.

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IJCAI Conference 2025 Conference Paper

Expanding Connected Components from Alternative Terminals: Global Optimization for Freshwater Fishes Under the UN's 30x30 Conservation Goal

Yue Mao
Zhongdi Qu
Imanol Miqueleiz
Aaron Ferber
Sami Wolf
Marc Grimson
Sebastian Heilpern
Felipe S. Pacheco

Climate change and biodiversity loss are among humanity’s most pressing challenges. In 2022, under the auspices of the United Nations, over 190 countries reached a historic agreement to address the alarming loss of biodiversity and restore natural ecosystems. Target 3, often referred to as ``30x30'', seeks to effectively protect and manage 30% of the world’s terrestrial, inland water, coastal, and marine areas by 2030. In this work, we address the UN 30x30 target in the context of global freshwater fish conservation. Freshwater ecosystems are disproportionately unprotected, and their biota are declining at an alarming rate. Our goal is to select new protected areas that protect freshwater fish species as much as possible without exceeding total coverage of 30% of land area. To support this goal, we introduce the Expansion of Connected Components from Alternative Terminals Problem, a graph-based optimization problem that captures ecological priorities and connectivity constraints. We analyze its computational complexity, propose novel integer programming formulations, and develop scalable solution methods. We further evaluate its typical-case complexity under diverse settings and demonstrate that our approach scales to a global real-world scope, encompassing approximately 200, 000 freshwater basins and 13, 000 species, paving the way for implementing the 30x30 target on a worldwide scale.

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AAAI Conference 2024 Conference Paper

Scaling Up Pareto Optimization for Tree Structures with Affine Transformations: Evaluating Hybrid Floating Solar-Hydropower Systems in the Amazon

Marc Grimson
Rafael Almeida
Qinru Shi
Yiwei Bai
Héctor Angarita
Felipe Siqueira Pacheco
Rafael Schmitt
Alexander Flecker

Sustainability challenges inherently involve the consideration of multiple competing objectives. The Pareto frontier – the set of all optimal solutions that cannot be improved with respect to one objective without negatively affecting another – is a crucial decision-making tool for navigating sustainability challenges as it highlights the inherent trade-offs among conflicting objectives. Our research is motivated by the strategic planning of hydropower in the Amazon basin, one of the earth’s largest and most biodiverse river systems, where the need to increase energy production coincides with the pressing requirement of minimizing detrimental environmental impacts. We investigate an innovative strategy that pairs hydropower with Floating Photovoltaic Solar Panels (FPV). We provide a new extended multi-tree network formulation, which enables the consideration of multiple dam configurations. To address the computational challenge of scaling up the Pareto optimization framework to tackle multiple objectives across the entire Amazon basin, we further enhance the state-of-the-art algorithm for Pareto frontiers in tree-structured networks with two improvements. We introduce affine transformations induced by the sub-frontiers to compute Pareto dominance and provide strategies for merging sub-trees, significantly increasing the pruning of dominated solutions. Our experiments demonstrate considerable speedups, in some cases by more than an order of magnitude, while maintaining optimality guarantees, thus allowing us to more effectively approximate the Pareto frontiers. Moreover, our findings suggest significant shifts towards higher energy values in the Pareto frontier when pairing hybrid hydropower with FPV solutions, potentially amplifying energy production while mitigating adverse impacts.

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