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Justus C. Will

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3 papers

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JMLR Journal 2025 Journal Article

ClimSim-Online: A Large Multi-Scale Dataset and Framework for Hybrid Physics-ML Climate Emulation

Sungduk Yu
Zeyuan Hu
Akshay Subramaniam
Walter Hannah
Liran Peng
Jerry Lin
Mohamed Aziz Bhouri
Ritwik Gupta

Modern climate projections lack adequate spatial and temporal resolution due to computational constraints, leading to inaccuracies in representing critical processes like thunderstorms that occur on the sub-resolution scale. Hybrid methods combining physics with machine learning (ML) offer faster, higher fidelity climate simulations by outsourcing compute-hungry, high-resolution simulations to ML emulators. However, these hybrid physics-ML simulations require domain-specific data and workflows that have been inaccessible to many ML experts. This paper is an extended version of our NeurIPS award-winning ClimSim dataset paper. The ClimSim dataset includes 5.7 billion pairs of multivariate input/output vectors spanning ten years at high temporal resolution, capturing the influence of high-resolution, high-fidelity physics on a host climate simulator's macro-scale state. In this extended version, we introduce a significant new contribution in Section 5, which provides a cross-platform, containerized pipeline to integrate ML models into operational climate simulators for hybrid testing. We also implement various baselines of ML models and hybrid simulators to highlight the ML challenges of building stable, skillful emulators. The data (https://huggingface.co/datasets/LEAP/ClimSim_high-res, also in a low-resolution version at https://huggingface.co/datasets/LEAP/ClimSim_low-res and an aquaplanet version at https://huggingface.co/datasets/LEAP/ClimSim_low-res_aqua-planet) and code (https://leap-stc.github.io/ClimSim and https://github.com/leap-stc/climsim-online) are publicly released to support the development of hybrid physics-ML and high-fidelity climate simulations. [abs] [ pdf ][ bib ] [ code ] &copy JMLR 2025. ( edit, beta )

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ICLR Conference 2025 Conference Paper

Progressive Compression with Universally Quantized Diffusion Models

Yibo Yang
Justus C. Will
Stephan Mandt

Diffusion probabilistic models have achieved mainstream success in many generative modeling tasks, from image generation to inverse problem solving. A distinct feature of these models is that they correspond to deep hierarchical latent variable models optimizing a variational evidence lower bound (ELBO) on the data likelihood. Drawing on a basic connection between likelihood modeling and compression, we explore the potential of diffusion models for progressive coding, resulting in a sequence of bits that can be incrementally transmitted and decoded with progressively improving reconstruction quality. Unlike prior work based on Gaussian diffusion or conditional diffusion models, we propose a new form of diffusion model with uniform noise in the forward process, whose negative ELBO corresponds to the end-to-end compression cost using universal quantization. We obtain promising first results on image compression, achieving competitive rate-distortion-realism results on a wide range of bit-rates with a single model, bringing neural codecs a step closer to practical deployment. Our code can be found at https://github.com/mandt-lab/uqdm.

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NeurIPS Conference 2023 Conference Paper

ClimSim: A large multi-scale dataset for hybrid physics-ML climate emulation

Sungduk Yu
Walter Hannah
Liran Peng
Jerry Lin
Mohamed Aziz Bhouri
Ritwik Gupta
Björn Lütjens
Justus C. Will

Modern climate projections lack adequate spatial and temporal resolution due to computational constraints. A consequence is inaccurate and imprecise predictions of critical processes such as storms. Hybrid methods that combine physics with machine learning (ML) have introduced a new generation of higher fidelity climate simulators that can sidestep Moore's Law by outsourcing compute-hungry, short, high-resolution simulations to ML emulators. However, this hybrid ML-physics simulation approach requires domain-specific treatment and has been inaccessible to ML experts because of lack of training data and relevant, easy-to-use workflows. We present ClimSim, the largest-ever dataset designed for hybrid ML-physics research. It comprises multi-scale climate simulations, developed by a consortium of climate scientists and ML researchers. It consists of 5. 7 billion pairs of multivariate input and output vectors that isolate the influence of locally-nested, high-resolution, high-fidelity physics on a host climate simulator's macro-scale physical state. The dataset is global in coverage, spans multiple years at high sampling frequency, and is designed such that resulting emulators are compatible with downstream coupling into operational climate simulators. We implement a range of deterministic and stochastic regression baselines to highlight the ML challenges and their scoring. The data (https: //huggingface. co/datasets/LEAP/ClimSim_high-res) and code (https: //leap-stc. github. io/ClimSim) are released openly to support the development of hybrid ML-physics and high-fidelity climate simulations for the benefit of science and society.

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