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Junxi Xiao

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NeurIPS Conference 2025 Conference Paper

HoT-VI: Reparameterizable Variational Inference for Capturing Instance-Level High-Order Correlations

Junxi Xiao
Qinliang Su
Zexin Yuan

Mean-field variational inference (VI), despite its scalability, is limited by the independence assumption, making it unsuitable for scenarios with correlated data instances. Existing structured VI methods either focus on correlations among latent dimensions which lack scalability for modeling instance-level correlations, or are restricted to simple first-order dependencies, limiting their expressiveness. In this paper, we propose High-order Tree-structured Variational Inference (HoT-VI), that explicitly models $k$-order instance-level correlations among latent variables. By expressing the global posterior through overlapping $k$-dimensional local marginals, our method enables efficient parameterized sampling via a sequential procedure. To ensure the validity of these marginals, we introduce a conditional correlation parameterization method that guarantees positive definiteness of their correlation matrices. We further extend our method with a tree-structured backbone to capture more flexible dependency patterns. Extensive experiments on time-series and graph-structured datasets demonstrate that modeling higher-order correlations leads to significantly improved posterior approximations and better performance across various downstream tasks.

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NeurIPS Conference 2024 Conference Paper

TreeVI: Reparameterizable Tree-structured Variational Inference for Instance-level Correlation Capturing

Junxi Xiao
Qinliang Su

Mean-field variational inference (VI) is computationally scalable, but its highly-demanding independence requirement hinders it from being applied to wider scenarios. Although many VI methods that take correlation into account have been proposed, these methods generally are not scalable enough to capture the correlation among data instances, which often arises in applications with graph-structured data or explicit constraints. In this paper, we developed the Tree-structured Variational Inference (TreeVI), which uses a tree structure to capture the correlation of latent variables in the posterior distribution. We show that samples from the tree-structured posterior can be reparameterized efficiently and parallelly, making its training cost just 2 or 3 times that of VI under the mean-field assumption. To capture correlation with more complicated structure, the TreeVI is further extended to the multiple-tree case. Furthermore, we show that the underlying tree structure can be automatically learned from training data. With experiments on synthetic datasets, constrained clustering, user matching and link prediction, we demonstrate that the TreeVI is superior in capturing instance-level correlation in posteriors and enhancing the performance of downstream applications.

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