Arrow Research search

Author name cluster

Joshua Kazdan

Possible papers associated with this exact author name in Arrow. This page groups case-insensitive exact name matches and is not a full identity disambiguation profile.

6 papers
2 author rows

Possible papers

6

ICML Conference 2025 Conference Paper

Collapse or Thrive: Perils and Promises of Synthetic Data in a Self-Generating World

  • Joshua Kazdan
  • Rylan Schaeffer
  • Apratim Dey
  • Matthias Gerstgrasser
  • Rafael Rafailov
  • David L. Donoho
  • Sanmi Koyejo

What happens when generative machine learning models are pretrained on web-scale datasets containing data generated by earlier models? Some prior work warns of “model collapse” as the web is overwhelmed by synthetic data; other work suggests the problem can be contained (i. e. collapse can be avoided) by managing how available data are used in pretraining. In this paper, we report experiments on three ways of using data (training-workflows), across three generative model task-settings (multivariate Gaussian estimation, kernel density estimation, and language-model fine-tuning) to further confirm the possibility of containment: (a) we confirm that the training-workflow of replacing all real data by successive generations of purely synthetic data indeed suffers model collapse in all task-settings studied; (b) we consider the training-workflow of accumulating synthetic data alongside real data and training on all data combined and confirming that, although the proportion of real data eventually becomes zero, models remain stable and their test losses do not diverge under this training-workflow; (c) we consider a training-workflow where real and synthetic data accumulate together but successive generations of pretraining are constrained to use fixed-size data subsets each generation. In this workflow, we observe slow and gradual rather than explosive degradation of test loss performance across generations. Our insights are particularly important when forecasting whether future frontier generative models will collapse or thrive, and our results open avenues for empirically and mathematically studying the context-dependent value of synthetic data.

ICLR Conference 2025 Conference Paper

CPSample: Classifier Protected Sampling for Guarding Training Data During Diffusion

  • Joshua Kazdan
  • Hao Sun
  • Jiaqi Han
  • Felix Petersen
  • Frederick Vu
  • Stefano Ermon

Diffusion models have a tendency to exactly replicate their training data, especially when trained on small datasets. Most prior work has sought to mitigate this problem by imposing differential privacy constraints or masking parts of the training data, resulting in a notable substantial decrease in image quality. We present CPSample, a method that modifies the sampling process to prevent training data replication while preserving image quality. CPSample utilizes a classifier that is trained to overfit on random binary labels attached to the training data. CPSample then uses classifier guidance to steer the generation process away from the set of points that can be classified with high certainty, a set that includes the training data. CPSample achieves FID scores of 4.97 and 2.97 on CIFAR-10 and CelebA-64, respectively, without producing exact replicates of the training data. Unlike prior methods intended to guard the training images, CPSample only requires training a classifier rather than retraining a diffusion model, which is computationally cheaper. Moreover, our technique provides diffusion models with greater robustness against membership inference attacks, wherein an adversary attempts to discern which images were in the model's training dataset. We show that CPSample behaves like a built-in rejection sampler, and we demonstrate its capabilities to prevent mode collapse in Stable Diffusion.

ICML Conference 2025 Conference Paper

How Do Large Language Monkeys Get Their Power (Laws)?

  • Rylan Schaeffer
  • Joshua Kazdan
  • John Hughes
  • Jordan Juravsky
  • Sara Price
  • Aengus Lynch
  • Erik Jones
  • Robert Kirk

Recent research across mathematical problem solving, proof assistant programming and multimodal jailbreaking documents a striking finding: when (multimodal) language model tackle a suite of tasks with multiple attempts per task – succeeding if any attempt is correct – then the negative log of the average success rate scales a power law in the number of attempts. In this work, we identify an apparent puzzle: a simple mathematical calculation predicts that on each problem, the failure rate should fall exponentially with the number of attempts. We confirm this prediction empirically, raising a question: from where does aggregate polynomial scaling emerge? We then answer this question by demonstrating per-problem exponential scaling can be made consistent with aggregate polynomial scaling if the distribution of single-attempt success probabilities is heavy tailed such that a small fraction of tasks with extremely low success probabilities collectively warp the aggregate success trend into a power law - even as each problem scales exponentially on its own. We further demonstrate that this distributional perspective explains previously observed deviations from power law scaling, and provides a simple method for forecasting the power law exponent with an order of magnitude lower relative error, or equivalently, ${\sim}2-4$ orders of magnitude less inference compute. Overall, our work contributes to a better understanding of how neural language model performance improves with scaling inference compute and the development of scaling-predictable evaluations of (multimodal) language models.

NeurIPS Conference 2025 Conference Paper

KGGen: Extracting Knowledge Graphs from Plain Text with Language Models

  • Belinda Mo
  • Kyssen Yu
  • Joshua Kazdan
  • Proud Mpala
  • Lisa Yu
  • Charilaos Kanatsoulis
  • Sanmi Koyejo

Recent interest in building foundation models for knowledge graphs has highlighted a fundamental challenge: knowledge graph data is scarce. The best-known knowl- edge graphs are primarily human-labeled, created by pattern-matching, or extracted using early NLP techniques. While human-generated knowledge graphs are in short supply, automatically extracted ones are of questionable quality. We present KGGen, a novel text-to-knowledge-graph generator that uses language models to extract high-quality graphs from plain text with a novel entity resolution approach that clusters related entities, significantly reducing the sparsity problem that plagues existing extractors. Unlike other KG generators, KGGen clusters and de-duplicates related entities to reduce sparsity in extracted KGs. Along with KGGen, we release Measure of Information in Nodes and Edges (MINE), the first benchmark to test an extractor’s ability to produce a useful KG from plain text. We benchmark our new tool against leading existing generators such as Microsoft’s GraphRAG; we achieve comparable retrieval accuracy on the generated graphs and better information re- tention. Moreover, our graphs exhibit more concise and generalizable entities and relations. Our code is open-sourced at https: //github. com/stair-lab/kg-gen/.

NeurIPS Conference 2025 Conference Paper

Position: Machine Learning Conferences Should Establish a "Refutations and Critiques" Track

  • Rylan Schaeffer
  • Joshua Kazdan
  • Yegor Denisov-Blanch
  • Brando Miranda
  • Matthias Gerstgrasser
  • Susan Zhang
  • Andreas Haupt
  • Isha Gupta

Science progresses by iteratively advancing and correcting humanity's understanding of the world. In machine learning (ML) research, rapid advancements have led to an explosion of publications, but have also led to misleading, incorrect, flawed or perhaps even fraudulent studies being accepted and sometimes highlighted at ML conferences due to the fallibility of peer review. While such mistakes are understandable, ML conferences do not offer robust processes to help the field systematically correct when such errors are made. This position paper argues that ML conferences should establish a dedicated "Refutations and Critiques" (R&C) Track. This R&C Track would provide a high-profile, reputable platform to support vital research that critically challenges prior research, thereby fostering a dynamic self-correcting research ecosystem. We discuss key considerations including track design, review principles, potential pitfalls, and provide an illustrative example submission concerning a recent ICLR 2025 Oral. We conclude that ML conferences should create official, reputable mechanisms to help ML research self-correct.

ICLR Conference 2025 Conference Paper

The Utility and Complexity of In- and Out-of-Distribution Machine Unlearning

  • Youssef Allouah
  • Joshua Kazdan
  • Rachid Guerraoui
  • Sanmi Koyejo

Machine unlearning, the process of selectively removing data from trained models, is increasingly crucial for addressing privacy concerns and knowledge gaps post-deployment. Despite this importance, existing approaches are often heuristic and lack formal guarantees. In this paper, we analyze the fundamental utility, time, and space complexity trade-offs of approximate unlearning, providing rigorous certification analogous to differential privacy. For in-distribution forget data—data similar to the retain set—we show that a surprisingly simple and general procedure, empirical risk minimization with output perturbation, achieves tight unlearning-utility-complexity trade-offs, addressing a previous theoretical gap on the separation from unlearning ``for free" via differential privacy, which inherently facilitates the removal of such data. However, such techniques fail with out-of-distribution forget data—data significantly different from the retain set—where unlearning time complexity can exceed that of retraining, even for a single sample. To address this, we propose a new robust and noisy gradient descent variant that provably amortizes unlearning time complexity without compromising utility.

v2026.09.13