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Jose H. Blanchet

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16 papers
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16

ICML Conference 2025 Conference Paper

Tightening Causal Bounds via Covariate-Aware Optimal Transport

  • Sirui Lin
  • Zijun Gao
  • Jose H. Blanchet
  • Peter W. Glynn

Causal estimands can vary significantly depending on the relationship between outcomes in treatment and control groups, leading to wide partial identification (PI) intervals that impede decision making. Incorporating covariates can substantially tighten these bounds, but requires determining the range of PI over probability models consistent with the joint distributions of observed covariates and outcomes in treatment and control groups. This problem is known to be equivalent to a conditional optimal transport (COT) optimization task, which is more challenging than standard optimal transport (OT) due to the additional conditioning constraints. In this work, we study a tight relaxation of COT that effectively reduces it to standard OT, leveraging its well-established computational and theoretical foundations. Our relaxation incorporates covariate information and ensures narrower PI intervals for any value of the penalty parameter, while becoming asymptotically exact as a penalty increases to infinity. This approach preserves the benefits of covariate adjustment in PI and results in a data-driven estimator for the PI set that is easy to implement using existing OT packages. We analyze the convergence rate of our estimator and demonstrate the effectiveness of our approach through extensive simulations, highlighting its practical use and superior performance compared to existing methods.

UAI Conference 2024 Conference Paper

Distributionally Robust Optimization as a Scalable Framework to Characterize Extreme Value Distributions

  • Patrick K. Kuiper
  • Ali Hasan
  • Wenhao Yang
  • Yuting Ng
  • Hoda Bidkhori
  • Jose H. Blanchet
  • Vahid Tarokh

The goal of this paper is to develop distributionally robust optimization (DRO) estimators, specifically for multidimensional Extreme Value Theory (EVT) statistics. EVT supports using semi-parametric models called max-stable distributions built from spatial Poisson point processes. While powerful, these models are only asymptotically valid for large samples. However, since extreme data is by definition scarce, the potential for model misspecification error is inherent to these applications, thus DRO estimators are natural. In order to mitigate over-conservative estimates while enhancing out-of-sample performance, we study DRO estimators informed by semi-parametric max-stable constraints in the space of point processes. We study both tractable convex formulations for some problems of interest (e. g. CVaR) and more general neural network based estimators. Both approaches are validated using synthetically generated data, recovering prescribed characteristics, and verifying the efficacy of the proposed techniques. Additionally, the proposed method is applied to a real data set of financial returns for comparison to a previous analysis. We established the proposed model as a novel formulation in the multivariate EVT domain, and innovative with respect to performance when compared to relevant alternate proposals.

ICLR Conference 2024 Conference Paper

Optimal Sample Complexity for Average Reward Markov Decision Processes

  • Shengbo Wang
  • Jose H. Blanchet
  • Peter W. Glynn

We resolve the open question regarding the sample complexity of policy learning for maximizing the long-run average reward associated with a uniformly ergodic Markov decision process (MDP), assuming a generative model. In this context, the existing literature provides a sample complexity upper bound of $\widetilde O(|S||A|t_{\text{mix}}^2 \epsilon^{-2})$ and a lower bound of $\Omega(|S||A|t_{\text{mix}} \epsilon^{-2})$. In these expressions, $|S|$ and $|A|$ denote the cardinalities of the state and action spaces respectively, $t_{\text{mix}}$ serves as a uniform upper limit for the total variation mixing times, and $\epsilon$ signifies the error tolerance. Therefore, a notable gap of $t_{\text{mix}}$ still remains to be bridged. Our primary contribution is the development of an estimator for the optimal policy of average reward MDPs with a sample complexity of $\widetilde O(|S||A|t_{\text{mix}}\epsilon^{-2})$. This marks the first algorithm and analysis to reach the literature's lower bound. Our new algorithm draws inspiration from ideas in Li et al. (2020), Jin \& Sidford (2021), and Wang et al. (2023). Additionally, we conduct numerical experiments to validate our theoretical findings.

ICML Conference 2024 Conference Paper

Orthogonal Bootstrap: Efficient Simulation of Input Uncertainty

  • Kaizhao Liu
  • Jose H. Blanchet
  • Lexing Ying
  • Yiping Lu 0001

Bootstrap is a popular methodology for simulating input uncertainty. However, it can be computationally expensive when the number of samples is large. We propose a new approach called Orthogonal Bootstrap that reduces the number of required Monte Carlo replications. We decomposes the target being simulated into two parts: the non-orthogonal part which has a closed-form result known as Infinitesimal Jackknife and the orthogonal part which is easier to be simulated. We theoretically and numerically show that Orthogonal Bootstrap significantly reduces the computational cost of Bootstrap while improving empirical accuracy and maintaining the same width of the constructed interval.

ICML Conference 2024 Conference Paper

Single-Trajectory Distributionally Robust Reinforcement Learning

  • Zhipeng Liang
  • Xiaoteng Ma
  • Jose H. Blanchet
  • Jun Yang 0028
  • Jiheng Zhang
  • Zhengyuan Zhou

To mitigate the limitation that the classical reinforcement learning (RL) framework heavily relies on identical training and test environments, Distributionally Robust RL (DRRL) has been proposed to enhance performance across a range of environments, possibly including unknown test environments. As a price for robustness gain, DRRL involves optimizing over a set of distributions, which is inherently more challenging than optimizing over a fixed distribution in the non-robust case. Existing DRRL algorithms are either model-based or fail to learn from a single sample trajectory. In this paper, we design a first fully model-free DRRL algorithm, called distributionally robust Q-learning with single trajectory (DRQ). We delicately design a multi-timescale framework to fully utilize each incrementally arriving sample and directly learn the optimal distributionally robust policy without modeling the environment, thus the algorithm can be trained along a single trajectory in a model-free fashion. Despite the algorithm’s complexity, we provide asymptotic convergence guarantees by generalizing classical stochastic approximation tools. Comprehensive experimental results demonstrate the superior robustness and sample complexity of our proposed algorithm, compared to non-robust methods and other robust RL algorithms.

ICML Conference 2024 Conference Paper

Stability Evaluation through Distributional Perturbation Analysis

  • Jose H. Blanchet
  • Peng Cui 0001
  • Jiajin Li
  • Jiashuo Liu

The performance of learning models often deteriorates when deployed in out-of-sample environments. To ensure reliable deployment, we propose a stability evaluation criterion based on distributional perturbations. Conceptually, our stability evaluation criterion is defined as the minimal perturbation required on our observed dataset to induce a prescribed deterioration in risk evaluation. In this paper, we utilize the optimal transport (OT) discrepancy with moment constraints on the (sample, density) space to quantify this perturbation. Therefore, our stability evaluation criterion can address both data corruptions and sub-population shifts—the two most common types of distribution shifts in real-world scenarios. To further realize practical benefits, we present a series of tractable convex formulations and computational methods tailored to different classes of loss functions. The key technical tool to achieve this is the strong duality theorem provided in this paper. Empirically, we validate the practical utility of our stability evaluation criterion across a host of real-world applications. These empirical studies showcase the criterion’s ability not only to compare the stability of different learning models and features but also to provide valuable guidelines and strategies to further improve models.

ICLR Conference 2023 Conference Paper

A Convergent Single-Loop Algorithm for Relaxation of Gromov-Wasserstein in Graph Data

  • Jiajin Li
  • Jianheng Tang
  • Lemin Kong
  • Huikang Liu
  • Jia Li 0009
  • Anthony Man-Cho So
  • Jose H. Blanchet

In this work, we present the Bregman Alternating Projected Gradient (BAPG) method, a single-loop algorithm that offers an approximate solution to the Gromov-Wasserstein (GW) distance. We introduce a novel relaxation technique that balances accuracy and computational efficiency, albeit with some compromises in the feasibility of the coupling map. Our analysis is based on the observation that the GW problem satisfies the Luo-Tseng error bound condition, which relates to estimating the distance of a point to the critical point set of the GW problem based on the optimality residual. This observation allows us to provide an approximation bound for the distance between the fixed-point set of BAPG and the critical point set of GW. Moreover, under a mild technical assumption, we can show that BAPG converges to its fixed point set. The effectiveness of BAPG has been validated through comprehensive numerical experiments in graph alignment and partition tasks, where it outperforms existing methods in terms of both solution quality and wall-clock time.

ICLR Conference 2023 Conference Paper

Minimax Optimal Kernel Operator Learning via Multilevel Training

  • Jikai Jin
  • Yiping Lu 0001
  • Jose H. Blanchet
  • Lexing Ying

Learning mappings between infinite-dimensional function spaces have achieved empirical success in many disciplines of machine learning, including generative modeling, functional data analysis, causal inference, and multi-agent reinforcement learning. In this paper, we study the statistical limit of learning a Hilbert-Schmidt operator between two infinite-dimensional Sobolev reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces. We establish the information-theoretic lower bound in terms of the Sobolev Hilbert-Schmidt norm and show that a regularization that learns the spectral components below the bias contour and ignores the ones above the variance contour can achieve the optimal learning rate. At the same time, the spectral components between the bias and variance contours give us flexibility in designing computationally feasible machine learning algorithms. Based on this observation, we develop a multilevel kernel operator learning algorithm that is optimal when learning linear operators between infinite-dimensional function spaces.

ICML Conference 2022 Conference Paper

Distributionally Robust Q-Learning

  • Zijian Liu 0003
  • Qinxun Bai
  • Jose H. Blanchet
  • Perry Dong
  • Wei Xu 0017
  • Zhengqing Zhou
  • Zhengyuan Zhou

Reinforcement learning (RL) has demonstrated remarkable achievements in simulated environments. However, carrying this success to real environments requires the important attribute of robustness, which the existing RL algorithms often lack as they assume that the future deployment environment is the same as the training environment (i. e. simulator) in which the policy is learned. This assumption often does not hold due to the discrepancy between the simulator and the real environment and, as a result, and hence renders the learned policy fragile when deployed. In this paper, we propose a novel distributionally robust $Q$-learning algorithm that learns the best policy in the worst distributional perturbation of the environment. Our algorithm first transforms the infinite-dimensional learning problem (since the environment MDP perturbation lies in an infinite-dimensional space) into a finite-dimensional dual problem and subsequently uses a multi-level Monte-Carlo scheme to approximate the dual value using samples from the simulator. Despite the complexity, we show that the resulting distributionally robust $Q$-learning algorithm asymptotically converges to optimal worst-case policy, thus making it robust to future environment changes. Simulation results further demonstrate its strong empirical robustness.

ICLR Conference 2022 Conference Paper

Machine Learning For Elliptic PDEs: Fast Rate Generalization Bound, Neural Scaling Law and Minimax Optimality

  • Yiping Lu 0001
  • Haoxuan Chen
  • Jianfeng Lu 0001
  • Lexing Ying
  • Jose H. Blanchet

In this paper, we study the statistical limits of deep learning techniques for solving elliptic partial differential equations (PDEs) from random samples using the Deep Ritz Method (DRM) and Physics-Informed Neural Networks (PINNs). To simplify the problem, we focus on a prototype elliptic PDE: the Schr\"odinger equation on a hypercube with zero Dirichlet boundary condition, which has wide application in the quantum-mechanical systems. We establish upper and lower bounds for both methods, which improves upon concurrently developed upper bounds for this problem via a fast rate generalization bound. We discover that the current Deep Ritz Methods is sub-optimal and propose a modified version of it. We also prove that PINN and the modified version of DRM can achieve minimax optimal bounds over Sobolev spaces. Empirically, following recent work which has shown that the deep model accuracy will improve with growing training sets according to a power law, we supply computational experiments to show a similar behavior of dimension dependent power law for deep PDE solvers.

UAI Conference 2022 Conference Paper

Modeling extremes with d-max-decreasing neural networks

  • Ali Hasan
  • Khalil Elkhalil
  • Yuting Ng
  • João M. Pereira 0002
  • Sina Farsiu
  • Jose H. Blanchet
  • Vahid Tarokh

We propose a neural network architecture that enables non-parametric calibration and generation of multivariate extreme value distributions (MEVs). MEVs arise from Extreme Value Theory (EVT) as the necessary class of models when extrapolating a distributional fit over large spatial and temporal scales based on data observed in intermediate scales. In turn, EVT dictates that $d$-max-decreasing, a stronger form of convexity, is an essential shape constraint in the characterization of MEVs. As far as we know, our proposed architecture provides the first class of non-parametric estimators for MEVs that preserve these essential shape constraints. We show that the architecture approximates the dependence structure encoded by MEVs at parametric rate. Moreover, we present a new method for sampling high-dimensional MEVs using a generative model. We demonstrate our methodology on a wide range of experimental settings, ranging from environmental sciences to financial mathematics and verify that the structural properties of MEVs are retained compared to existing methods.

ICML Conference 2021 Conference Paper

Sequential Domain Adaptation by Synthesizing Distributionally Robust Experts

  • Bahar Taskesen
  • Man-Chung Yue
  • Jose H. Blanchet
  • Daniel Kuhn 0001
  • Viet Anh Nguyen

Least squares estimators, when trained on few target domain samples, may predict poorly. Supervised domain adaptation aims to improve the predictive accuracy by exploiting additional labeled training samples from a source distribution that is close to the target distribution. Given available data, we investigate novel strategies to synthesize a family of least squares estimator experts that are robust with regard to moment conditions. When these moment conditions are specified using Kullback-Leibler or Wasserstein-type divergences, we can find the robust estimators efficiently using convex optimization. We use the Bernstein online aggregation algorithm on the proposed family of robust experts to generate predictions for the sequential stream of target test samples. Numerical experiments on real data show that the robust strategies systematically outperform non-robust interpolations of the empirical least squares estimators.

ICML Conference 2021 Conference Paper

Testing Group Fairness via Optimal Transport Projections

  • Nian Si
  • Karthyek Murthy
  • Jose H. Blanchet
  • Viet Anh Nguyen

We have developed a statistical testing framework to detect if a given machine learning classifier fails to satisfy a wide range of group fairness notions. Our test is a flexible, interpretable, and statistically rigorous tool for auditing whether exhibited biases are intrinsic to the algorithm or simply due to the randomness in the data. The statistical challenges, which may arise from multiple impact criteria that define group fairness and which are discontinuous on model parameters, are conveniently tackled by projecting the empirical measure to the set of group-fair probability models using optimal transport. This statistic is efficiently computed using linear programming, and its asymptotic distribution is explicitly obtained. The proposed framework can also be used to test for composite fairness hypotheses and fairness with multiple sensitive attributes. The optimal transport testing formulation improves interpretability by characterizing the minimal covariate perturbations that eliminate the bias observed in the audit.

ICML Conference 2020 Conference Paper

Distributionally Robust Policy Evaluation and Learning in Offline Contextual Bandits

  • Nian Si
  • Fan Zhang 0059
  • Zhengyuan Zhou
  • Jose H. Blanchet

Policy learning using historical observational data is an important problem that has found widespread applications. However, existing literature rests on the crucial assumption that the future environment where the learned policy will be deployed is the same as the past environment that has generated the data{–}an assumption that is often false or too coarse an approximation. In this paper, we lift this assumption and aim to learn a distributionally robust policy with bandit observational data. We propose a novel learning algorithm that is able to learn a robust policy to adversarial perturbations and unknown covariate shifts. We first present a policy evaluation procedure in the ambiguous environment and also give a heuristic algorithm to solve the distributionally robust policy learning problems efficiently. Additionally, we provide extensive simulations to demonstrate the robustness of our policy.

ICML Conference 2020 Conference Paper

Robust Bayesian Classification Using An Optimistic Score Ratio

  • Viet Anh Nguyen
  • Nian Si
  • Jose H. Blanchet

We build a Bayesian contextual classification model using an optimistic score ratio for robust binary classification when there is limited information on the class-conditional, or contextual, distribution. The optimistic score searches for the distribution that is most plausible to explain the observed outcomes in the testing sample among all distributions belonging to the contextual ambiguity set which is prescribed using a limited structural constraint on the mean vector and the covariance matrix of the underlying contextual distribution. We show that the Bayesian classifier using the optimistic score ratio is conceptually attractive, delivers solid statistical guarantees and is computationally tractable. We showcase the power of the proposed optimistic score ratio classifier on both synthetic and empirical data.

ICML Conference 2019 Conference Paper

Probability Functional Descent: A Unifying Perspective on GANs, Variational Inference, and Reinforcement Learning

  • Casey Chu
  • Jose H. Blanchet
  • Peter W. Glynn

The goal of this paper is to provide a unifying view of a wide range of problems of interest in machine learning by framing them as the minimization of functionals defined on the space of probability measures. In particular, we show that generative adversarial networks, variational inference, and actor-critic methods in reinforcement learning can all be seen through the lens of our framework. We then discuss a generic optimization algorithm for our formulation, called probability functional descent (PFD), and show how this algorithm recovers existing methods developed independently in the settings mentioned earlier.

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