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Jason Gaitonde

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STOC Conference 2025 Conference Paper

Bypassing the Noisy Parity Barrier: Learning Higher-Order Markov Random Fields from Dynamics

  • Jason Gaitonde
  • Ankur Moitra
  • Elchanan Mossel

We consider the problem of learning graphical models, also known as Markov random fields (MRFs) from temporally correlated samples. As in many traditional statistical settings, fundamental results in the area all assume independent samples from the distribution. However, these samples generally will not directly correspond to more realistic observations from nature, which instead evolve according to some stochastic process. From the computational lens, even generating a single sample from the true MRF distribution is intractable unless NP = RP , and moreover, any algorithm to learn from i.i.d. samples requires prohibitive runtime due to hardness reductions to the parity with noise problem . These computational barriers for sampling and learning from the i.i.d. setting severely lessen the utility of these breakthrough results for this important task; however, dropping this assumption typically only introduces further algorithmic and statistical complexities. In this work, we surprisingly demonstrate that the direct trajectory data from a natural evolution of the MRF overcomes the fundamental computational lower bounds to efficient learning. In particular, we show that given a trajectory with O k ( n ) site updates of an order k MRF from the Glauber dynamics , a well-studied, natural stochastic process on graphical models, there is an algorithm that recovers the graph and the parameters in O k ( n 2 ) time. By contrast, all prior algorithms for learning order k MRFs inherently suffer from n Θ( k ) runtime even in sparse instances due to the reductions to sparse parity with noise. Our results thus surprisingly show that this more realistic, but intuitively less tractable, model for MRFs actually leads to efficiency far beyond what is known and believed to be true in the traditional i.i.d. case.

STOC Conference 2024 Conference Paper

A Unified Approach to Learning Ising Models: Beyond Independence and Bounded Width

  • Jason Gaitonde
  • Elchanan Mossel

We revisit the well-studied problem of efficiently learning the underlying structure and parameters of an Ising model from data. Current algorithmic approaches achieve essentially optimal sample complexity when samples are generated i.i.d. from the stationary measure and the underlying model satisfies ”width” constraints that bound the total ℓ 1 interaction involving each node. However, these assumptions are not satisfied in some important settings of interest, like temporally correlated data or more complicated models (like spin glasses) that do not satisfy width bounds. We analyze a simple existing approach based on node-wise logistic regression, and show it provably succeeds at efficiently recovering the underlying Ising model in several new settings: Given dynamically generated data from a wide variety of Markov chains, including Glauber, block, and round-robin dynamics, logistic regression recovers the parameters with sample complexity that is optimal up to loglog n factors. This generalizes the specialized algorithm of Bresler, Gamarnik, and Shah (IEEE Trans. Inf. Theory ’18) for structure recovery in bounded degree graphs from Glauber dynamics. For the Sherrington-Kirkpatrick model of spin glasses, given poly ( n ) independent samples, logistic regression recovers the parameters in most of the proven high-temperature regime via a simple reduction to weaker structural properties of the measure. This improves on recent work of Anari, Jain, Koehler, Pham, and Vuong (SODA ’24) which gives distribution learning at higher temperature. As a simple byproduct of our techniques, logistic regression achieves an exponential improvement in learning from samples in the M-regime of data considered by Dutt, Lokhov, Vuffray, and Misra (ICML ’21) as well as novel guarantees for learning from the adversarial Glauber dynamics of Chin, Moitra, Mossel, and Sandon. Our approach thus provides a significant generalization of the elegant analysis of logistic regression by Wu, Sanghavi, and Dimakis (Neurips ’19) without any algorithmic modification in each setting.

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