EAAI Journal 2026 Journal Article
A hybrid deep learning model for energy consumption prediction in hot die forging production lines
- Zhenhua Wang
- Haotian Wang
- Chenheng Yuan
- Wangzhe Du
- Yuanming Liu
The energy consumption of hot die forging production lines is influenced by multi-process flows, multi-equipment collaboration, and rapidly changing operating conditions, exhibiting strong nonlinearity, spatiotemporal coupling, and fluctuation. Together with the full-process transfer of workpieces across heating, forming, and handling stages, these factors make accurate energy prediction challenging. To address this issue, whole-process time series data from an automotive hot die forging line are used to construct an input sequence integrating process parameters, equipment states, and scheduling information. Based on this, a multi-branch hybrid prediction model, Convolutional Neural Network-Temporal Convolutional Network-Dynamic Gated Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory-Transformer (CTDG-BiLSTM-Transformer), is proposed. The model adopts a Convolutional Neural Network (CNN)-Temporal Convolutional Network (TCN) dual-path structure to extract multi-scale spatiotemporal features, employs a Cross-Modal Attention (CMA) mechanism for dynamic feature weighting, and combines Dynamic Gated Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory (DG-BiLSTM) with a Transformer encoder to capture complex sequential dependencies. Experimental results show that the proposed model outperforms Multiple Linear Regression (MLR), Support Vector Regression (SVR), Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), and as well as Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), achieving a Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) of 4. 901, Mean Absolute Error (MAE) of 2. 049, Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) of 58. 15%, and Coefficient of Determination (R2) of 0. 9821. Ablation studies further confirm the effectiveness and complementarity of each component, demonstrating its potential for forging energy modeling and intelligent optimization.