EAAI Journal 2026 Journal Article
Prediction of maximum impact displacement of reinforced concrete columns based on interpretable machine learning
- Jingfeng Zhang
- Jiaxin Luo
- Yifan Jing
- Shizhi Chen
- Hang Li
The maximum impact displacement (MID) of reinforced concrete (RC) columns is critical for evaluating impact performance. Currently, model tests and numerical analysis are the main methods used to obtain the MID of RC columns. However, the lack of a widely applicable approach for predicting the MID of RC columns persists, due to the high costs of model test and the technical complexity of numerical analysis. In this paper, a predictive formula for the MID of RC columns is developed by integrating machine learning (ML) interpretability with the physical mechanics. Firstly, an RC column MID dataset is established by collecting experimental data and being supplemented by numerical simulation results. Then, four classic and four ensemble ML algorithms are used to develop the MID prediction model. The Adaptive Boosting (AdaBoost) model with an accuracy of 0. 99 is selected as the base ML model. The importance of the input parameters is ranked and the influence mechanisms of each parameter on the RC columns MID are discussed through interpretability analysis. The results show that the impact energy and the column slenderness ratio are the main factors affecting the MID. Finally, a MID prediction formula for RC columns is established driven by both data and physical mechanism. The proposed formula can effectively predict the MID of RC columns, offering valuable insights for the design and performance evaluation of RC columns subjected to impact. The combination of ML and the physical mechanism can effectively establish the MID prediction formula, providing a robust tool for structural engineers.