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Han Bao

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23 papers
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23

NeurIPS Conference 2025 Conference Paper

Any-stepsize Gradient Descent for Separable Data under Fenchel–Young Losses

  • Han Bao
  • Shinsaku Sakaue
  • Yuki Takezawa

The gradient descent (GD) has been one of the most common optimizer in machine learning. In particular, the loss landscape of a neural network is typically sharpened during the initial phase of training, making the training dynamics hover on the edge of stability. This is beyond our standard understanding of GD convergence in the stable regime where arbitrarily chosen stepsize is sufficiently smaller than the edge of stability. Recently, Wu et al. (COLT2024) have showed that GD converges with arbitrary stepsize under linearly separable logistic regression. Although their analysis hinges on the self-bounding property of the logistic loss, which seems to be a cornerstone to establish a modified descent lemma, our pilot study shows that other loss functions without the self-bounding property can make GD converge with arbitrary stepsize. To further understand what property of a loss function matters in GD, we aim to show arbitrary-stepsize GD convergence for a general loss function based on the framework of \emph{Fenchel--Young losses}. We essentially leverage the classical perceptron argument to derive the convergence rate for achieving $\epsilon$-optimal loss, which is possible for a majority of Fenchel--Young losses. Among typical loss functions, the Tsallis entropy achieves the GD convergence rate $T=\Omega(\epsilon^{-1/2})$, and the R{\'e}nyi entropy achieves the far better rate $T=\Omega(\epsilon^{-1/3})$. We argue that these better rate is possible because of \emph{separation margin} of loss functions, instead of the self-bounding property.

ECAI Conference 2025 Conference Paper

DRLServe: Adaptive Prefill Chunking with Deep Reinforcement Learning for LLM Inference

  • Chongxiang Sun
  • Han Bao
  • Yijie Wang

In traditional LLM inference, the prefill phase necessitates exclusive access to the GPU, forcing mutually exclusive execution between the prefill and decode phases. This makes it challenging to balance Time to First Token (TTFT) and Time Between Tokens (TBT). Existing chunked-prefills techniques decompose prefill tasks into non-exclusive GPU chunks for batch execution, enabling parallel execution of prefill and decode, improving TTFT-TBT trade-offs. However, current chunked-prefills techniques rely on artificial experience to set static chunk sizes, making it difficult to optimize TTFT-TBT trade-offs under complex workloads. Consequently, it is necessary to dynamically adjust the prefill chunk size without interrupting the LLM inference. However, it is difficult because LLM inference scenarios are real-time and concurrent, and the state information is high-dimensional. To address this, we propose DRLServe - an adaptive chunked prefill inference technology based on deep reinforcement learning, which significantly enhances TTFT-TBT trade-offs by dynamically adjusting the chunk size based on real-time load and system resource utilisation. Specifically, we propose a real-time adaptive prefill chunking inference framework (RAPC), which decouples inference and chunk size adjustment, allowing it to complete chunk size adjustment without interrupting the existing inference. RAPC implements a resource and task-aware dual-driven chunk size decision mechanism, which can obtain resource status and inference task characteristics in real-time and dynamically adjust the chunk size. Then, we present a reinforcement learning algorithm for real-time prefill chunk partitioning (TAPPO). For the first time, we modelled LLM inference as a Markov Decision Process (MDP). We used reinforcement learning to learn the chunk partitioning strategy, aiming to achieve adaptive decision-making of prefill chunk size under constraints of inference latency and training stability, to optimise the TTFT-TBT trade-offs. Experiments show that compared with the latest inference technology, DRLServe can shorten TTFT by 50. 9%, TBT mean by 64. 6%, TBT variance by 99. 0%.

NeurIPS Conference 2025 Conference Paper

Establishing Linear Surrogate Regret Bounds for Convex Smooth Losses via Convolutional Fenchel–Young Losses

  • Yuzhou Cao
  • Han Bao
  • Lei Feng
  • Bo An

Surrogate regret bounds, also known as excess risk bounds, bridge the gap between the convergence rates of surrogate and target losses. The regret transfer is lossless if the surrogate regret bound is linear. While convex smooth surrogate losses are appealing in particular due to the efficient estimation and optimization, the existence of a trade-off between the loss smoothness and linear regret bound has been believed in the community. Under this scenario, the better optimization and estimation properties of convex smooth surrogate losses may inevitably deteriorate after undergoing the regret transfer onto a target loss. We overcome this dilemma for arbitrary discrete target losses by constructing a convex smooth surrogate loss, which entails a linear surrogate regret bound composed with a tailored prediction link. The construction is based on Fenchel--Young losses generated by the convolutional negentropy, which are equivalent to the infimal convolution of a generalized negentropy and the target Bayes risk. Consequently, the infimal convolution enables us to derive a smooth loss while maintaining the surrogate regret bound linear. We additionally benefit from the infimal convolution to have a consistent estimator of the underlying class probability. Our results are overall a novel demonstration of how convex analysis penetrates into optimization and statistical efficiency in risk minimization.

ICML Conference 2025 Conference Paper

FlatQuant: Flatness Matters for LLM Quantization

  • Yuxuan Sun
  • Ruikang Liu
  • Haoli Bai
  • Han Bao
  • Kang Zhao
  • Yuening Li
  • Jiaxin Hu
  • Xianzhi Yu

Recently, quantization has been widely used for the compression and acceleration of large language models (LLMs). Due to the outliers in LLMs, it is crucial to flatten weights and activations to minimize quantization error with equally spaced quantization points. Prior research explores various pre-quantization transformations to suppress outliers, such as per-channel scaling and Hadamard transformation. However, we observe that these transformed weights and activations can still exhibit steep and dispersed distributions. In this paper, we propose FlatQuant (Fast and Learnable Affine Transformation), a new post-training quantization approach that enhances the flatness of weights and activations. Our approach identifies optimal affine transformations for each linear layer, calibrated in hours via a lightweight objective. To reduce runtime overhead of affine transformation, we apply Kronecker product with two lightweight matrices, and fuse all operations in FlatQuant into a single kernel. Extensive experiments demonstrate that FlatQuant establishes a new state-of-the-art benchmark for quantization. For example, it achieves less than 1% accuracy drop for W4A4 quantization on the LLaMA-3-70B model, surpassing SpinQuant by 7. 5%. Additionally, it provides up to 2. 3x prefill speedup and 1. 7x decoding speedup compared to the FP16 model. Code is available at: https: //github. com/ruikangliu/FlatQuant.

AAAI Conference 2025 Conference Paper

LiD-FL: Towards List-Decodable Federated Learning

  • Hong Liu
  • Liren Shan
  • Han Bao
  • Ronghui You
  • Yuhao Yi
  • Jiancheng Lv

Federated learning is often used in environments with many unverified participants. Therefore, federated learning under adversarial attacks receives significant attention. This paper proposes an algorithmic framework for list-decodable federated learning, where a central server maintains a list of models, with at least one guaranteed to perform well. The framework has no strict restriction on the fraction of honest clients, extending the applicability of Byzantine federated learning to the scenario with more than half adversaries. Assuming the variance of gradient noise in stochastic gradient descent is bounded, we prove a convergence theorem of our method for strongly convex and smooth losses. Experimental results, including image classification tasks with both convex and non-convex losses, demonstrate that the proposed algorithm can withstand the malicious majority under various attacks.

TMLR Journal 2025 Journal Article

Necessary and Sufficient Watermark for Large Language Models

  • Yuki Takezawa
  • Ryoma Sato
  • Han Bao
  • Kenta Niwa
  • Makoto Yamada

Large language models (LLMs) can now generate texts that are indistinguishable from those written by humans. Such remarkable performance of LLMs increases their risk of being used for malicious purposes. Thus, it is necessary to develop methods for distinguishing texts written by LLMs from those written by humans. Watermarking is one of the most powerful methods for achieving this. Although existing methods have successfully detected texts generated by LLMs, they inevitably degrade the text quality. In this study, we propose the Necessary and Sufficient Watermark (NS-Watermark) for inserting watermarks into generated texts with minimum text quality degradation. More specifically, we derive minimum constraints required to be imposed on the generated texts to distinguish whether LLMs or humans write the texts, and we formulate the NS-Watermark as a constrained optimization problem. Through the experiments, we demonstrate that the NS-Watermark can generate more natural texts than existing watermarking methods and distinguish more accurately between texts written by LLMs and those written by humans. Especially in machine translation tasks, the NS-Watermark can outperform the existing watermarking method by up to 30 BLEU scores.

NeurIPS Conference 2025 Conference Paper

Online Inverse Linear Optimization: Efficient Logarithmic-Regret Algorithm, Robustness to Suboptimality, and Lower Bound

  • Shinsaku Sakaue
  • Taira Tsuchiya
  • Han Bao
  • Taihei Oki

In online inverse linear optimization, a learner observes time-varying sets of feasible actions and an agent's optimal actions, selected by solving linear optimization over the feasible actions. The learner sequentially makes predictions of the agent's true linear objective function, and their quality is measured by the *regret*, the cumulative gap between optimal objective values and those achieved by following the learner's predictions. A seminal work by Bärmann et al. (2017) obtained a regret bound of $O(\sqrt{T})$, where $T$ is the time horizon. Subsequently, the regret bound has been improved to $O(n^4 \ln T)$ by Besbes et al. (2021, 2025) and to $O(n \ln T)$ by Gollapudi et al. (2021), where $n$ is the dimension of the ambient space of objective vectors. However, these logarithmic-regret methods are highly inefficient when $T$ is large, as they need to maintain regions specified by $O(T)$ constraints, which represent possible locations of the true objective vector. In this paper, we present the first logarithmic-regret method whose per-round complexity is independent of $T$; indeed, it achieves the best-known bound of $O(n \ln T)$. Our method is strikingly simple: it applies the online Newton step (ONS) to appropriate exp-concave loss functions. Moreover, for the case where the agent's actions are possibly suboptimal, we establish a regret bound of $O(n\ln T + \sqrt{\Delta_T n\ln T})$, where $\Delta_T$ is the cumulative suboptimality of the agent's actions. This bound is achieved by using MetaGrad, which runs ONS with $\Theta(\ln T)$ different learning rates in parallel. We also present a lower bound of $\Omega(n)$, showing that the $O(n\ln T)$ bound is tight up to an $O(\ln T)$ factor.

JMLR Journal 2025 Journal Article

Proper losses regret at least 1/2-order

  • Han Bao
  • Asuka Takatsu

A fundamental challenge in machine learning is the choice of a loss as it characterizes our learning task, is minimized in the training phase, and serves as an evaluation criterion for estimators. Proper losses are commonly chosen, ensuring minimizers of the full risk match the true probability vector. Estimators induced from a proper loss are widely used to construct forecasters for downstream tasks such as classification and ranking. In this procedure, how does the forecaster based on the obtained estimator perform well under a given downstream task? This question is substantially relevant to the behavior of the $p$-norm between true probability and estimated vectors when the estimator is updated. In the proper loss framework, the suboptimality of the estimated probability vector from the true probability vector is measured by a surrogate regret. First, we analyze a surrogate regret and show that the strict properness of a loss is necessary and sufficient to establish a non-vacuous surrogate regret bound. Second, we tackle an important open question that the order of convergence in $p$-norm cannot be faster than the $1/2$-order of surrogate regrets for a broad class of strictly proper losses. This implies that strongly proper losses asymptotically achieve the optimal convergence rate. [abs] [ pdf ][ bib ] &copy JMLR 2025. ( edit, beta )

ICLR Conference 2025 Conference Paper

TAID: Temporally Adaptive Interpolated Distillation for Efficient Knowledge Transfer in Language Models

  • Makoto Shing
  • Kou Misaki
  • Han Bao
  • Sho Yokoi
  • Takuya Akiba

Causal language models have demonstrated remarkable capabilities, but their size poses significant challenges for deployment in resource-constrained environments. Knowledge distillation, a widely-used technique for transferring knowledge from a large teacher model to a small student model, presents a promising approach for model compression. A significant remaining issue lies in the major differences between teacher and student models, namely the substantial capacity gap, mode averaging, and mode collapse, which pose barriers during distillation. To address these issues, we introduce $\textit{Temporally Adaptive Interpolated Distillation (TAID)}$, a novel knowledge distillation approach that dynamically interpolates student and teacher distributions through an adaptive intermediate distribution, gradually shifting from the student's initial distribution towards the teacher's distribution. We provide a theoretical analysis demonstrating TAID's ability to prevent mode collapse and empirically show its effectiveness in addressing the capacity gap while balancing mode averaging and mode collapse. Our comprehensive experiments demonstrate TAID's superior performance across various model sizes and architectures in both instruction tuning and pre-training scenarios. Furthermore, we showcase TAID's practical impact by developing two state-of-the-art compact foundation models: $\texttt{TAID-LLM-1.5B}$ for language tasks and $\texttt{TAID-VLM-2B}$ for vision-language tasks. These results demonstrate TAID's effectiveness in creating high-performing and efficient models, advancing the development of more accessible AI technologies.

NeurIPS Conference 2024 Conference Paper

Parameter-free Clipped Gradient Descent Meets Polyak

  • Yuki Takezawa
  • Han Bao
  • Ryoma Sato
  • Kenta Niwa
  • Makoto Yamada

Gradient descent and its variants are de facto standard algorithms for training machine learning models. As gradient descent is sensitive to its hyperparameters, we need to tune the hyperparameters carefully using a grid search. However, the method is time-consuming, particularly when multiple hyperparameters exist. Therefore, recent studies have analyzed parameter-free methods that adjust the hyperparameters on the fly. However, the existing work is limited to investigations of parameter-free methods for the stepsize, and parameter-free methods for other hyperparameters have not been explored. For instance, although the gradient clipping threshold is a crucial hyperparameter in addition to the stepsize for preventing gradient explosion issues, none of the existing studies have investigated parameter-free methods for clipped gradient descent. Therefore, in this study, we investigate the parameter-free methods for clipped gradient descent. Specifically, we propose Inexact Polyak Stepsize, which converges to the optimal solution without any hyperparameters tuning, and its convergence rate is asymptotically independent of $L$ under $L$-smooth and $(L_0, L_1)$-smooth assumptions of the loss function, similar to that of clipped gradient descent with well-tuned hyperparameters. We numerically validated our convergence results using a synthetic function and demonstrated the effectiveness of our proposed methods using LSTM, Nano-GPT, and T5.

IJCAI Conference 2024 Conference Paper

Pluggable Watermarking of Deepfake Models for Deepfake Detection

  • Han Bao
  • Xuhong Zhang
  • Qinying Wang
  • Kangming Liang
  • Zonghui Wang
  • Shouling Ji
  • Wenzhi Chen

Deepfake model misuse poses major security concerns. Existing passive and active Deepfake detection methods both suffer from a lack of generalizability and robustness. In this study, we propose a pluggable and efficient active model watermarking framework for Deepfake detection. This approach facilitates the embedding of identification watermarks across a variety of Deepfake generation models, enabling easy extraction by authorities for detection purposes. Specifically, our method leverages the universal convolutional structure in generative model decoders. It employs convolutional kernel sparsification for adaptive watermark embedding positioning and introduces convolutional kernel normalization to seamlessly integrate watermark parameters with those of the generative model. For watermark extraction, we jointly train a watermark extractor based on a Deepfake detection model and use BCH encoding to identify watermark images effectively. Finally, we apply our approach to eight major types of Deepfake generation models. Experiments show our method successfully detects Deepfakes with an average accuracy exceeding 94% even in heavy lossy channels. This approach operates independently of the generation model's training without affecting the original model's performance. Furthermore, our model requires training a very limited number of parameters, and it is resilient against three major adaptive attacks. The source code can be found at https: //github. com/GuaiZao/Pluggable-Watermarking

AAAI Conference 2024 Conference Paper

Referee-Meta-Learning for Fast Adaptation of Locational Fairness

  • Weiye Chen
  • Yiqun Xie
  • Xiaowei Jia
  • Erhu He
  • Han Bao
  • Bang An
  • Xun Zhou

When dealing with data from distinct locations, machine learning algorithms tend to demonstrate an implicit preference of some locations over the others, which constitutes biases that sabotage the spatial fairness of the algorithm. This unfairness can easily introduce biases in subsequent decision-making given broad adoptions of learning-based solutions in practice. However, locational biases in AI are largely understudied. To mitigate biases over locations, we propose a locational meta-referee (Meta-Ref) to oversee the few-shot meta-training and meta-testing of a deep neural network. Meta-Ref dynamically adjusts the learning rates for training samples of given locations to advocate a fair performance across locations, through an explicit consideration of locational biases and the characteristics of input data. We present a three-phase training framework to learn both a meta-learning-based predictor and an integrated Meta-Ref that governs the fairness of the model. Once trained with a distribution of spatial tasks, Meta-Ref is applied to samples from new spatial tasks (i.e., regions outside the training area) to promote fairness during the fine-tune step. We carried out experiments with two case studies on crop monitoring and transportation safety, which show Meta-Ref can improve locational fairness while keeping the overall prediction quality at a similar level.

NeurIPS Conference 2024 Conference Paper

Zipfian Whitening

  • Sho Yokoi
  • Han Bao
  • Hiroto Kurita
  • Hidetoshi Shimodaira

The word embedding space in neural models is skewed, and correcting this can improve task performance. We point out that most approaches for modeling, correcting, and measuring the symmetry of an embedding space implicitly assume that the word frequencies are uniform; in reality, word frequencies follow a highly non-uniform distribution, known as Zipf's law. Surprisingly, simply performing PCA whitening weighted by the empirical word frequency that follows Zipf's law significantly improves task performance, surpassing established baselines. From a theoretical perspective, both our approach and existing methods can be clearly categorized: word representations are distributed according to an exponential family with either uniform or Zipfian base measures. By adopting the latter approach, we can naturally emphasize informative low-frequency words in terms of their vector norm, which becomes evident from the information-geometric perspective (Oyama et al. , EMNLP 2023), and in terms of the loss functions for imbalanced classification (Menon et al. ICLR 2021). Additionally, our theory corroborates that popular natural language processing methods, such as skip-gram negative sampling (Mikolov et al. , NIPS 2013), WhiteningBERT (Huang et al. , Findings of EMNLP 2021), and headless language models (Godey et al. , ICLR 2024), work well just because their word embeddings encode the empirical word frequency into the underlying probabilistic model.

AAAI Conference 2023 Conference Paper

Auto-CM: Unsupervised Deep Learning for Satellite Imagery Composition and Cloud Masking Using Spatio-Temporal Dynamics

  • Yiqun Xie
  • Zhili Li
  • Han Bao
  • Xiaowei Jia
  • Dongkuan Xu
  • Xun Zhou
  • Sergii Skakun

Cloud masking is both a fundamental and a critical task in the vast majority of Earth observation problems across social sectors, including agriculture, energy, water, etc. The sheer volume of satellite imagery to be processed has fast-climbed to a scale (e.g., >10 PBs/year) that is prohibitive for manual processing. Meanwhile, generating reliable cloud masks and image composite is increasingly challenging due to the continued distribution-shifts in the imagery collected by existing sensors and the ever-growing variety of sensors and platforms. Moreover, labeled samples are scarce and geographically limited compared to the needs in real large-scale applications. In related work, traditional remote sensing methods are often physics-based and rely on special spectral signatures from multi- or hyper-spectral bands, which are often not available in data collected by many -- and especially more recent -- high-resolution platforms. Machine learning and deep learning based methods, on the other hand, often require large volumes of up-to-date training data to be reliable and generalizable over space. We propose an autonomous image composition and masking (Auto-CM) framework to learn to solve the fundamental tasks in a label-free manner, by leveraging different dynamics of events in both geographic domains and time-series. Our experiments show that Auto-CM outperforms existing methods on a wide-range of data with different satellite platforms, geographic regions and bands.

AAAI Conference 2023 Conference Paper

BEVStereo: Enhancing Depth Estimation in Multi-View 3D Object Detection with Temporal Stereo

  • Yinhao Li
  • Han Bao
  • Zheng Ge
  • Jinrong Yang
  • Jianjian Sun
  • Zeming Li

Restricted by the ability of depth perception, all Multi-view 3D object detection methods fall into the bottleneck of depth accuracy. By constructing temporal stereo, depth estimation is quite reliable in indoor scenarios. However, there are two difficulties in directly integrating temporal stereo into outdoor multi-view 3D object detectors: 1) The construction of temporal stereos for all views results in high computing costs. 2) Unable to adapt to challenging outdoor scenarios. In this study, we propose an effective method for creating temporal stereo by dynamically determining the center and range of the temporal stereo. The most confident center is found using the EM algorithm. Numerous experiments on nuScenes have shown the BEVStereo's ability to deal with complex outdoor scenarios that other stereo-based methods are unable to handle. For the first time, a stereo-based approach shows superiority in scenarios like a static ego vehicle and moving objects. BEVStereo achieves the new state-of-the-art in the camera-only track of nuScenes dataset while maintaining memory efficiency. Codes have been released.

NeurIPS Conference 2023 Conference Paper

Beyond Exponential Graph: Communication-Efficient Topologies for Decentralized Learning via Finite-time Convergence

  • Yuki Takezawa
  • Ryoma Sato
  • Han Bao
  • Kenta Niwa
  • Makoto Yamada

Decentralized learning has recently been attracting increasing attention for its applications in parallel computation and privacy preservation. Many recent studies stated that the underlying network topology with a faster consensus rate (a. k. a. spectral gap) leads to a better convergence rate and accuracy for decentralized learning. However, a topology with a fast consensus rate, e. g. , the exponential graph, generally has a large maximum degree, which incurs significant communication costs. Thus, seeking topologies with both a fast consensus rate and small maximum degree is important. In this study, we propose a novel topology combining both a fast consensus rate and small maximum degree called the Base-$\left(k+1\right)$ Graph. Unlike the existing topologies, the Base-$\left(k+1\right)$ Graph enables all nodes to reach the exact consensus after a finite number of iterations for any number of nodes and maximum degree $k$. Thanks to this favorable property, the Base-$\left(k+1\right)$ Graph endows Decentralized SGD (DSGD) with both a faster convergence rate and more communication efficiency than the exponential graph. We conducted experiments with various topologies, demonstrating that the Base-$\left(k+1\right)$ Graph enables various decentralized learning methods to achieve higher accuracy with better communication efficiency than the existing topologies. Our code is available at https: //github. com/yukiTakezawa/BaseGraph.

TMLR Journal 2023 Journal Article

Momentum Tracking: Momentum Acceleration for Decentralized Deep Learning on Heterogeneous Data

  • Yuki Takezawa
  • Han Bao
  • Kenta Niwa
  • Ryoma Sato
  • Makoto Yamada

SGD with momentum is one of the key components for improving the performance of neural networks. For decentralized learning, a straightforward approach using momentum is Distributed SGD (DSGD) with momentum (DSGDm). However, DSGDm performs worse than DSGD when the data distributions are statistically heterogeneous. Recently, several studies have addressed this issue and proposed methods with momentum that are more robust to data heterogeneity than DSGDm, although their convergence rates remain dependent on data heterogeneity and deteriorate when the data distributions are heterogeneous. In this study, we propose Momentum Tracking, which is a method with momentum whose convergence rate is proven to be independent of data heterogeneity. More specifically, we analyze the convergence rate of Momentum Tracking in the setting where the objective function is non-convex and the stochastic gradient is used. Then, we identify that it is independent of data heterogeneity for any momentum coefficient $\beta \in [0, 1)$. Through experiments, we demonstrate that Momentum Tracking is more robust to data heterogeneity than the existing decentralized learning methods with momentum and can consistently outperform these existing methods when the data distributions are heterogeneous.

TMLR Journal 2022 Journal Article

Approximating 1-Wasserstein Distance with Trees

  • Makoto Yamada
  • Yuki Takezawa
  • Ryoma Sato
  • Han Bao
  • Zornitsa Kozareva
  • Sujith Ravi

The Wasserstein distance, which measures the discrepancy between distributions, shows efficacy in various types of natural language processing and computer vision applications. One of the challenges in estimating the Wasserstein distance is that it is computationally expensive and does not scale well for many distribution-comparison tasks. In this study, we aim to approximate the 1-Wasserstein distance by the tree-Wasserstein distance (TWD), where the TWD is a 1-Wasserstein distance with tree-based embedding that can be computed in linear time with respect to the number of nodes on a tree. More specifically, we propose a simple yet efficient L1-regularized approach for learning the weights of edges in a tree. To this end, we first demonstrate that the 1-Wasserstein approximation problem can be formulated as a distance approximation problem using the shortest path distance on a tree. We then show that the shortest path distance can be represented by a linear model and formulated as a Lasso-based regression problem. Owing to the convex formulation, we can efficiently obtain a globally optimal solution. We also propose a tree-sliced variant of these methods. Through experiments, we demonstrate that the TWD can accurately approximate the original 1-Wasserstein distance by using the weight estimation technique. Our code can be found in the GitHub repository.

TIST Journal 2022 Journal Article

COVID-GAN+: Estimating Human Mobility Responses to COVID-19 through Spatio-temporal Generative Adversarial Networks with Enhanced Features

  • Han Bao
  • Xun Zhou
  • Yiqun Xie
  • Yingxue Zhang
  • Yanhua Li

Estimating human mobility responses to the large-scale spreading of the COVID-19 pandemic is crucial, since its significance guides policymakers to give Non-pharmaceutical Interventions, such as closure or reopening of businesses. It is challenging to model due to complex social contexts and limited training data. Recently, we proposed a conditional generative adversarial network (COVID-GAN) to estimate human mobility response under a set of social and policy conditions integrated from multiple data sources. Although COVID-GAN achieves a good average estimation accuracy under real-world conditions, it produces higher errors in certain regions due to the presence of spatial heterogeneity and outliers. To address these issues, in this article, we extend our prior work by introducing a new spatio-temporal deep generative model, namely, COVID-GAN+. COVID-GAN+ deals with the spatial heterogeneity issue by introducing a new spatial feature layer that utilizes the local Moran statistic to model the spatial heterogeneity strength in the data. In addition, we redesign the training objective to learn the estimated mobility changes from historical average levels to mitigate the effects of spatial outliers. We perform comprehensive evaluations using urban mobility data derived from cell phone records and census data. Results show that COVID-GAN+ can better approximate real-world human mobility responses than prior methods, including COVID-GAN.

AAAI Conference 2022 Conference Paper

Fairness by “Where”: A Statistically-Robust and Model-Agnostic Bi-level Learning Framework

  • Yiqun Xie
  • Erhu He
  • Xiaowei Jia
  • Weiye Chen
  • Sergii Skakun
  • Han Bao
  • Zhe Jiang
  • Rahul Ghosh

Fairness related to locations (i. e. , “where”) is critical for the use of machine learning in a variety of societal domains involving spatial datasets (e. g. , agriculture, disaster response, urban planning). Spatial biases incurred by learning, if left unattended, may cause or exacerbate unfair distribution of resources, social division, spatial disparity, etc. The goal of this work is to develop statistically-robust formulations and model-agnostic learning strategies to understand and promote spatial fairness. The problem is challenging as locations are often from continuous spaces with no well-defined categories (e. g. , gender), and statistical conclusions from spatial data are fragile to changes in spatial partitionings and scales. Existing studies in fairness-driven learning have generated valuable insights related to non-spatial factors including race, gender, education level, etc. , but research to mitigate locationrelated biases still remains in its infancy, leaving the main challenges unaddressed. To bridge the gap, we first propose a robust space-as-distribution (SPAD) representation of spatial fairness to reduce statistical sensitivity related to partitioning and scales in continuous space. Furthermore, we propose a new SPAD-based stochastic strategy to efficiently optimize over an extensive distribution of fairness criteria, and a bilevel training framework to enforce fairness via adaptive adjustment of priorities among locations. Experiments on realworld crop monitoring show that SPAD can effectively reduce sensitivity in fairness evaluation and the stochastic bilevel training framework can greatly improve the fairness.

IJCAI Conference 2022 Conference Paper

Statistically-Guided Deep Network Transformation to Harness Heterogeneity in Space (Extended Abstract)

  • Yiqun Xie
  • Erhu He
  • Xiaowei Jia
  • Han Bao
  • Xun Zhou
  • Rahul Ghosh
  • Praveen Ravirathinam

Spatial data are ubiquitous and have transformed decision-making in many critical domains, including public health, agriculture, transportation, etc. While recent advances in machine learning offer promising ways to harness massive spatial datasets (e. g. , satellite imagery), spatial heterogeneity -- a fundamental property of spatial data -- poses a major challenge as data distributions or generative processes often vary over space. Recent studies targeting this difficult problem either require a known space-partitioning as the input, or can only support limited special cases (e. g. , binary classification). Moreover, heterogeneity-pattern learned by these methods are locked to the locations of the training samples, and cannot be applied to new locations. We propose a statistically-guided framework to adaptively partition data in space during training using distribution-driven optimization and transform a deep learning model (of user's choice) into a heterogeneity-aware architecture. We also propose a spatial moderator to generalize learned patterns to new test regions. Experiment results on real-world datasets show that the framework can effectively capture footprints of heterogeneity and substantially improve prediction performances.

TIST Journal 2021 Journal Article

Significant DBSCAN+: Statistically Robust Density-based Clustering

  • Yiqun Xie
  • Xiaowei Jia
  • Shashi Shekhar
  • Han Bao
  • Xun Zhou

Cluster detection is important and widely used in a variety of applications, including public health, public safety, transportation, and so on. Given a collection of data points, we aim to detect density-connected spatial clusters with varying geometric shapes and densities, under the constraint that the clusters are statistically significant. The problem is challenging, because many societal applications and domain science studies have low tolerance for spurious results, and clusters may have arbitrary shapes and varying densities. As a classical topic in data mining and learning, a myriad of techniques have been developed to detect clusters with both varying shapes and densities (e.g., density-based, hierarchical, spectral, or deep clustering methods). However, the vast majority of these techniques do not consider statistical rigor and are susceptible to detecting spurious clusters formed as a result of natural randomness. On the other hand, scan statistic approaches explicitly control the rate of spurious results, but they typically assume a single “hotspot” of over-density and many rely on further assumptions such as a tessellated input space. To unite the strengths of both lines of work, we propose a statistically robust formulation of a multi-scale DBSCAN, namely Significant DBSCAN+, to identify significant clusters that are density connected. As we will show, incorporation of statistical rigor is a powerful mechanism that allows the new Significant DBSCAN+ to outperform state-of-the-art clustering techniques in various scenarios. We also propose computational enhancements to speed-up the proposed approach. Experiment results show that Significant DBSCAN+ can simultaneously improve the success rate of true cluster detection (e.g., 10–20% increases in absolute F1 scores) and substantially reduce the rate of spurious results (e.g., from thousands/hundreds of spurious detections to none or just a few across 100 datasets), and the acceleration methods can improve the efficiency for both clustered and non-clustered data.

AAAI Conference 2019 Conference Paper

Unsupervised Domain Adaptation Based on Source-Guided Discrepancy

  • Seiichi Kuroki
  • Nontawat Charoenphakdee
  • Han Bao
  • Junya Honda
  • Issei Sato
  • Masashi Sugiyama

Unsupervised domain adaptation is the problem setting where data generating distributions in the source and target domains are different and labels in the target domain are unavailable. An important question in unsupervised domain adaptation is how to measure the difference between the source and target domains. Existing discrepancy measures for unsupervised domain adaptation either require high computation costs or have no theoretical guarantee. To mitigate these problems, this paper proposes a novel discrepancy measure called source-guided discrepancy (S-disc), which exploits labels in the source domain unlike the existing ones. As a consequence, S-disc can be computed efficiently with a finitesample convergence guarantee. In addition, it is shown that S-disc can provide a tighter generalization error bound than the one based on an existing discrepancy measure. Finally, experimental results demonstrate the advantages of S-disc over the existing discrepancy measures.

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