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Fan Meng

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3 papers
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3

AAAI Conference 2022 Short Paper

A Short-Term Tropical Cyclone Intensity Forecasting Method Based on High-Order Tensor (Student Abstract)

  • Fan Meng
  • Handan Sun
  • Danya Xu
  • Pengfei Xie
  • Tao Song

Tropical cyclones (TC) bring enormous harm to human beings, and it is crucial to accurately forecast the intensity of TCs, but the progress of intensity forecasting has been slow in recent years, and tropical cyclones are an extreme weather phenomenon with short duration, and the sample size of TC intensity series is small and short in length. In this paper, we devolop a tensor ARIMA model based on feature reconstruction to solve the problem, which represents multiple time series as low-rank Block Hankel Tensor(BHT), and combine the tensor decomposition technique with ARIMA for time series prediction. The method predicts the sustained maximum wind speed and central minimum pressure of TC 6-24 hours in advance, and the results show that the method exceeds the global numerical model GSM operated by the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) in the short term. We further checked the prediction results for a TC, and the results show the validity of the method.

AAAI Conference 2022 Short Paper

Creating Interpretable Data-Driven Approaches for Tropical Cyclones Forecasting

  • Fan Meng

Tropical cyclones (TC) are extreme weather phenomena that bring heavy disasters to humans. Existing forecasting techniques contain computationally intensive dynamical models and statistical methods with complex inputs, both of which have bottlenecks in intensity forecasting, and we aim to create data-driven methods to break this forecasting bottleneck. The research goal of my PhD topic is to introduce novel methods to provide accurate and trustworthy forecasting of TC by developing interpretable machine learning models to analyze the characteristics of TC from multiple sources of data such as satellite remote sensing and observations.

JMLR Journal 2013 Journal Article

The CAM Software for Nonnegative Blind Source Separation in R-Java

  • Niya Wang
  • Fan Meng
  • Li Chen
  • Subha Madhavan
  • Robert Clarke
  • Eric P. Hoffman
  • Jianhua Xuan
  • Yue Wang

We describe a R-Java CAM (convex analysis of mixtures) package that provides comprehensive analytic functions and a graphic user interface ( GUI ) for blindly separating mixed nonnegative sources. This open-source multiplatform software implements recent and classic algorithms in the literature including Chan et al. (2008), Wang et al. (2010), Chen et al. (2011a) and Chen et al. (2011b). The CAM package offers several attractive features: (1) instead of using proprietary MATLAB, its analytic functions are written in R, which makes the codes more portable and easier to modify; (2) besides producing and plotting results in R, it also provides a Java GUI for automatic progress update and convenient visual monitoring; (3) multi-thread interactions between the R and Java modules are driven and integrated by a Java GUI, assuring that the whole CAM software runs responsively; (4) the package offers a simple mechanism to allow others to plug-in additional R -functions. [abs] [ pdf ][ bib ] [ code ] &copy JMLR 2013. ( edit, beta )

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