Author name cluster

Emadeldeen Eldele

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7 papers

2 author rows

AAAI Conference 2026 Conference Paper

A Unified Shape-Aware Foundation Model for Time Series Classification

Zhen Liu
Yucheng Wang
Boyuan Li
Junhao Zheng
Emadeldeen Eldele
Min Wu
Qianli Ma

Foundation models pre-trained on large-scale source datasets are reshaping the traditional training paradigm for time series classification. However, existing time series foundation models primarily focus on forecasting tasks and often overlook classification-specific challenges, such as modeling interpretable shapelets that capture class-discriminative temporal features. To bridge this gap, we propose UniShape, a unified shape-aware foundation model designed for time series classification. UniShape incorporates a shape-aware adapter that adaptively aggregates multiscale discriminative subsequences (shapes) into class tokens, effectively selecting the most relevant subsequence scales to enhance model interpretability. Meanwhile, a prototype-based pretraining module is introduced to jointly learn instance- and shape-level representations, enabling the capture of transferable shape patterns. Pre-trained on a large-scale multi-domain time series dataset comprising 1.89 million samples, UniShape exhibits superior generalization across diverse target domains. Experiments on 128 UCR datasets and 30 additional time series datasets demonstrate that UniShape achieves state-of-the-art classification performance, with interpretability and ablation analyses further validating its effectiveness.

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ICML Conference 2025 Conference Paper

Counterfactual Contrastive Learning with Normalizing Flows for Robust Treatment Effect Estimation

Jiaxuan Zhang
Emadeldeen Eldele
Fuyuan Cao
Yang Wang
Xiaoli Li 0001
Jiye Liang

Estimating Individual Treatment Effects (ITE) from observational data is challenging due to covariate shift and counterfactual absence. While existing methods attempt to balance distributions globally, they often lack fine-grained sample-level alignment, especially in scenarios with significant individual heterogeneity. To address these issues, we reconsider counterfactual as a proxy to emulate balanced randomization. Furthermore, we derive a theoretical bound that links the expected ITE estimation error to both factual prediction errors and representation distances between factuals and counterfactuals. Building on this theoretical foundation, we propose FCCL, a novel method designed to effectively capture the nuances of potential outcomes under different treatments by (i) generating diffeomorphic counterfactuals that adhere to the data manifold while maintaining high semantic similarity to their factual counterparts, and (ii) mitigating distribution shift via sample-level alignment grounded in our derived generalization-error bound, which considers factual-counterfactual similarity and category consistency. Extensive evaluations on benchmark datasets demonstrate that FCCL outperforms 13 state-of-the-art methods, particularly in capturing individual-level heterogeneity and handling sparse boundary samples.

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AAAI Conference 2025 Conference Paper

Hierarchical Classification Auxiliary Network for Time Series Forecasting

Yanru Sun
Zongxia Xie
Dongyue Chen
Emadeldeen Eldele
Qinghua Hu

Deep learning has significantly advanced time series forecasting through its powerful capacity to capture sequence relationships. However, training these models with the Mean Square Error (MSE) loss often results in over-smooth predictions, making it challenging to handle the complexity and learn high-entropy features from time series data with high variability and unpredictability. In this work, we introduce a novel approach by tokenizing time series values to train forecasting models via cross-entropy loss, while considering the continuous nature of time series data. Specifically, we propose a Hierarchical Classification Auxiliary Network, HCAN, a general model-agnostic component that can be integrated with any forecasting model. HCAN is based on a Hierarchy-Aware Attention module that integrates multi-granularity high-entropy features at different hierarchy levels. At each level, we assign a class label for timesteps to train an Uncertainty-Aware Classifier. This classifier mitigates the over-confidence in softmax loss via evidence theory. We also implement a Hierarchical Consistency Loss to maintain prediction consistency across hierarchy levels. Extensive experiments integrating HCAN with state-of-the-art forecasting models demonstrate substantial improvements over baselines on several real-world datasets.

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NeurIPS Conference 2025 Conference Paper

Learning Pattern-Specific Experts for Time Series Forecasting Under Patch-level Distribution Shift

Yanru Sun
Zongxia Xie
Emadeldeen Eldele
Dongyue Chen
Qinghua Hu
Min Wu

Time series forecasting, which aims to predict future values based on historical data, has garnered significant attention due to its broad range of applications. However, real-world time series often exhibit heterogeneous pattern evolution across segments, such as seasonal variations, regime changes, or contextual shifts, making accurate forecasting challenging. Existing approaches, which typically train a single model to capture all these diverse patterns, often struggle with the pattern drifts between patches and may lead to poor generalization. To address these challenges, we propose TFPS, a novel architecture that leverages pattern-specific experts for more accurate and adaptable time series forecasting. TFPS employs a dual-domain encoder to capture both time-domain and frequency-domain features, enabling a more comprehensive understanding of temporal dynamics. It then performs subspace clustering to dynamically identify distinct patterns across data segments. Finally, these patterns are modeled by specialized experts, allowing the model to learn multiple predictive functions. Extensive experiments on real-world datasets demonstrate that TFPS outperforms state-of-the-art methods, particularly on datasets exhibiting significant distribution shifts. The data and code are available: https: //github. com/syrGitHub/TFPS.

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ICML Conference 2025 Conference Paper

Learning Soft Sparse Shapes for Efficient Time-Series Classification

Zhen Liu 0023
Yicheng Luo
Boyuan Li
Emadeldeen Eldele
Min Wu 0008
Qianli Ma 0001

Shapelets are discriminative subsequences (or shapes) with high interpretability in time series classification. Due to the time-intensive nature of shapelet discovery, existing shapelet-based methods mainly focus on selecting discriminative shapes while discarding others to achieve candidate subsequence sparsification. However, this approach may exclude beneficial shapes and overlook the varying contributions of shapelets to classification performance. To this end, we propose a Soft sparse Shapes (SoftShape) model for efficient time series classification. Our approach mainly introduces soft shape sparsification and soft shape learning blocks. The former transforms shapes into soft representations based on classification contribution scores, merging lower-scored ones into a single shape to retain and differentiate all subsequence information. The latter facilitates intra- and inter-shape temporal pattern learning, improving model efficiency by using sparsified soft shapes as inputs. Specifically, we employ a learnable router to activate a subset of class-specific expert networks for intra-shape pattern learning. Meanwhile, a shared expert network learns inter-shape patterns by converting sparsified shapes into sequences. Extensive experiments show that SoftShape outperforms state-of-the-art methods and produces interpretable results.

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ICML Conference 2024 Conference Paper

TSLANet: Rethinking Transformers for Time Series Representation Learning

Emadeldeen Eldele
Mohamed Ragab 0002
Zhenghua Chen
Min Wu 0008
Xiaoli Li 0001

Time series data, characterized by its intrinsic long and short-range dependencies, poses a unique challenge across analytical applications. While Transformer-based models excel at capturing long-range dependencies, they face limitations in noise sensitivity, computational efficiency, and overfitting with smaller datasets. In response, we introduce a novel T ime S eries L ightweight A daptive Net work ( TSLANet ), as a universal convolutional model for diverse time series tasks. Specifically, we propose an Adaptive Spectral Block, harnessing Fourier analysis to enhance feature representation and to capture both long-term and short-term interactions while mitigating noise via adaptive thresholding. Additionally, we introduce an Interactive Convolution Block and leverage self-supervised learning to refine the capacity of TSLANet for decoding complex temporal patterns and improve its robustness on different datasets. Our comprehensive experiments demonstrate that TSLANet outperforms state-of-the-art models in various tasks spanning classification, forecasting, and anomaly detection, showcasing its resilience and adaptability across a spectrum of noise levels and data sizes. The code is available at https: //github. com/emadeldeen24/TSLANet.

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IJCAI Conference 2021 Conference Paper

Time-Series Representation Learning via Temporal and Contextual Contrasting

Emadeldeen Eldele
Mohamed Ragab
Zhenghua Chen
Min Wu
Chee Keong Kwoh
Xiaoli Li
Cuntai Guan

Learning decent representations from unlabeled time-series data with temporal dynamics is a very challenging task. In this paper, we propose an unsupervised Time-Series representation learning framework via Temporal and Contextual Contrasting (TS-TCC), to learn time-series representation from unlabeled data. First, the raw time-series data are transformed into two different yet correlated views by using weak and strong augmentations. Second, we propose a novel temporal contrasting module to learn robust temporal representations by designing a tough cross-view prediction task. Last, to further learn discriminative representations, we propose a contextual contrasting module built upon the contexts from the temporal contrasting module. It attempts to maximize the similarity among different contexts of the same sample while minimizing similarity among contexts of different samples. Experiments have been carried out on three real-world time-series datasets. The results manifest that training a linear classifier on top of the features learned by our proposed TS-TCC performs comparably with the supervised training. Additionally, our proposed TS-TCC shows high efficiency in few-labeled data and transfer learning scenarios. The code is publicly available at https: //github. com/emadeldeen24/TS-TCC.

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