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Eli Ben-Michael

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ICML Conference 2025 Conference Paper

Isolated Causal Effects of Natural Language

  • Victoria Lin 0001
  • Louis-Philippe Morency
  • Eli Ben-Michael

As language technologies become widespread, it is important to understand how changes in language affect reader perceptions and behaviors. These relationships may be formalized as the isolated causal effect of some focal language-encoded intervention (e. g. , factual inaccuracies) on an external outcome (e. g. , readers’ beliefs). In this paper, we introduce a formal estimation framework for isolated causal effects of language. We show that a core challenge of estimating isolated effects is the need to approximate all non-focal language outside of the intervention. Drawing on the principle of omitted variable bias, we provide measures for evaluating the quality of both non-focal language approximations and isolated effect estimates themselves. We find that poor approximation of non-focal language can lead to bias in the corresponding isolated effect estimates due to omission of relevant variables, and we show how to assess the sensitivity of effect estimates to such bias along the two key axes of fidelity and overlap. In experiments on semi-synthetic and real-world data, we validate the ability of our framework to correctly recover isolated effects and demonstrate the utility of our proposed measures.

UAI Conference 2024 Conference Paper

Optimizing Language Models for Human Preferences is a Causal Inference Problem

  • Victoria Lin 0001
  • Eli Ben-Michael
  • Louis-Philippe Morency

As large language models (LLMs) see greater use in academic and commercial settings, there is increasing interest in methods that allow language models to generate texts aligned with human preferences. In this paper, we present an initial exploration of language model optimization for human preferences from *direct outcome datasets*, where each sample consists of a text and an associated numerical outcome measuring the reader’s response. We first propose that language model optimization should be viewed as a *causal problem* to ensure that the model correctly learns the relationship between the text and the outcome. We formalize this causal language optimization problem, and we develop a method{—}*causal preference optimization* (CPO){—}that solves an unbiased surrogate objective for the problem. We further extend CPO with *doubly robust* CPO (DR-CPO), which reduces the variance of the surrogate objective while retaining provably strong guarantees on bias. Finally, we empirically demonstrate the effectiveness of (DR-)CPO in optimizing state-of-the-art LLMs for human preferences on direct outcome data, and we validate the robustness of DR-CPO under difficult confounding conditions.

v2026.09.13