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Chenbei Lu

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ICML Conference 2025 Conference Paper

Overcoming the Curse of Dimensionality in Reinforcement Learning Through Approximate Factorization

  • Chenbei Lu
  • Laixi Shi
  • Zaiwei Chen
  • Chenye Wu
  • Adam Wierman

Factored Markov Decision Processes (FMDPs) offer a promising framework for overcoming the curse of dimensionality in reinforcement learning (RL) by decomposing high-dimensional MDPs into smaller and independently evolving components. Despite their potential, existing studies on FMDPs face three key limitations: reliance on perfectly factorizable models, suboptimal sample complexity guarantees for model-based algorithms, and the absence of model-free algorithms. To address these challenges, we introduce approximate factorization, which extends FMDPs to handle imperfectly factored models. Moreover, we develop a model-based algorithm and a model-free algorithm (in the form of variance-reduced Q-learning), both achieving the first near-minimax sample complexity guarantees for FMDPs. A key novelty in the design of these two algorithms is the development of a graph-coloring-based optimal synchronous sampling strategy. Numerical simulations based on the wind farm storage control problem corroborate our theoretical findings.

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NeurIPS Conference 2025 Conference Paper

Reinforcement Learning with Imperfect Transition Predictions: A Bellman-Jensen Approach

  • Chenbei Lu
  • Zaiwei Chen
  • Tongxin Li
  • Chenye Wu
  • Adam Wierman

Traditional reinforcement learning (RL) assumes the agents make decisions based on Markov decision processes (MDPs) with one-step transition models. In many real-world applications, such as energy management and stock investment, agents can access multi-step predictions of future states, which provide additional advantages for decision making. However, multi-step predictions are inherently high-dimensional: naively embedding these predictions into an MDP leads to an exponential blow-up in state space and the curse of dimensionality. Moreover, existing RL theory provides few tools to analyze prediction-augmented MDPs, as it typically works on one-step transition kernels and cannot accommodate multi-step predictions with errors or partial action-coverage. We address these challenges with three key innovations: First, we propose the \emph{Bayesian value function} to characterize the optimal prediction-aware policy tractably. Second, we develop a novel \emph{Bellman–Jensen Gap} analysis on the Bayesian value function, which enables characterizing the value of imperfect predictions. Third, we introduce BOLA (Bayesian Offline Learning with Online Adaptation), a two-stage model-based RL algorithm that separates offline Bayesian value learning from lightweight online adaptation to real-time predictions. We prove that BOLA remains sample-efficient even under imperfect predictions. We validate our theory and algorithm on synthetic MDPs and a real-world wind energy storage control problem.

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