Author name cluster

Barbara Rakitsch

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8 papers

2 author rows

TMLR Journal 2025 Journal Article

Global Safe Sequential Learning via Efficient Knowledge Transfer

Cen-You Li
Olaf Dünnbier
Marc Toussaint
Barbara Rakitsch
Christoph Zimmer

Sequential learning methods, such as active learning and Bayesian optimization, aim to select the most informative data for task learning. In many applications, however, data selection is constrained by unknown safety conditions, motivating the development of safe learning approaches. A promising line of safe learning methods uses Gaussian processes to model safety conditions, restricting data selection to areas with high safety confidence. However, these methods are limited to local exploration around an initial seed dataset, as safety confidence centers around observed data points. As a consequence, task exploration is slowed down and safe regions disconnected from the initial seed dataset remain unexplored. In this paper, we propose safe transfer sequential learning to accelerate task learning and to expand the explorable safe region. By leveraging abundant offline data from a related source task, our approach guides exploration in the target task more effectively. We also provide a theoretical analysis to explain why single-task method cannot cope with disconnected regions. Finally, we introduce a computationally efficient approximation of our method that reduces runtime through pre-computations. Our experiments demonstrate that this approach, compared to state-of-the-art methods, learns tasks with lower data consumption and enhances global exploration across multiple disjoint safe regions, while maintaining comparable computational efficiency.

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TMLR Journal 2023 Journal Article

Cheap and Deterministic Inference for Deep State-Space Models of Interacting Dynamical Systems

Andreas Look
Barbara Rakitsch
Melih Kandemir
Jan Peters

Graph neural networks are often used to model interacting dynamical systems since they gracefully scale to systems with a varying and high number of agents. While there has been much progress made for deterministic interacting systems, modeling is much more challenging for stochastic systems in which one is interested in obtaining a predictive distribution over future trajectories. Existing methods are either computationally slow since they rely on Monte Carlo sampling or make simplifying assumptions such that the predictive distribution is unimodal. In this work, we present a deep state-space model which employs graph neural networks in order to model the underlying interacting dynamical system. The predictive distribution is multimodal and has the form of a Gaussian mixture model, where the moments of the Gaussian components can be computed via deterministic moment matching rules. Our moment matching scheme can be exploited for sample-free inference leading to more efficient and stable training compared to Monte Carlo alternatives. Furthermore, we propose structured approximations to the covariance matrices of the Gaussian components in order to scale up to systems with many agents. We benchmark our novel framework on two challenging autonomous driving datasets. Both confirm the benefits of our method compared to state-of-the-art methods. We further demonstrate the usefulness of our individual contributions in a carefully designed ablation study and provide a detailed empirical runtime analysis of our proposed covariance approximations.

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AAAI Conference 2023 Conference Paper

Combining Slow and Fast: Complementary Filtering for Dynamics Learning

Katharina Ensinger
Sebastian Ziesche
Barbara Rakitsch
Michael Tiemann
Sebastian Trimpe

Modeling an unknown dynamical system is crucial in order to predict the future behavior of the system. A standard approach is training recurrent models on measurement data. While these models typically provide exact short-term predictions, accumulating errors yield deteriorated long-term behavior. In contrast, models with reliable long-term predictions can often be obtained, either by training a robust but less detailed model, or by leveraging physics-based simulations. In both cases, inaccuracies in the models yield a lack of short-time details. Thus, different models with contrastive properties on different time horizons are available. This observation immediately raises the question: Can we obtain predictions that combine the best of both worlds? Inspired by sensor fusion tasks, we interpret the problem in the frequency domain and leverage classical methods from signal processing, in particular complementary filters. This filtering technique combines two signals by applying a high-pass filter to one signal, and low-pass filtering the other. Essentially, the high-pass filter extracts high-frequencies, whereas the low-pass filter extracts low frequencies. Applying this concept to dynamics model learning enables the construction of models that yield accurate long- and short-term predictions. Here, we propose two methods, one being purely learning-based and the other one being a hybrid model that requires an additional physics-based simulator.

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UAI Conference 2022 Conference Paper

Laplace approximated Gaussian process state-space models

Jakob Lindinger
Barbara Rakitsch
Christoph Lippert

Gaussian process state-space models describe time series data in a probabilistic and non-parametric manner using a Gaussian process transition function. As inference is intractable, recent methods use variational inference and either rely on simplifying independence assumptions on the approximate posterior or learn the temporal states iteratively. The latter hampers optimization since the posterior over the presence can only be learned once the posterior governing the past has converged. We present a novel inference scheme that applies stochastic variational inference for the Gaussian process posterior and the Laplace approximation on the temporal states. This approach respects the conditional dependencies in the model and, through the Laplace approximation, treats the temporal states jointly, thereby avoiding their sequential learning. Our method is computationally efficient and leads to better calibrated predictions compared to state-of-the art alternatives on synthetic data and on a range of benchmark datasets.

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NeurIPS Conference 2022 Conference Paper

Learning interacting dynamical systems with latent Gaussian process ODEs

Çağatay Yıldız
Melih Kandemir
Barbara Rakitsch

We study uncertainty-aware modeling of continuous-time dynamics of interacting objects. We introduce a new model that decomposes independent dynamics of single objects accurately from their interactions. By employing latent Gaussian process ordinary differential equations, our model infers both independent dynamics and their interactions with reliable uncertainty estimates. In our formulation, each object is represented as a graph node and interactions are modeled by accumulating the messages coming from neighboring objects. We show that efficient inference of such a complex network of variables is possible with modern variational sparse Gaussian process inference techniques. We empirically demonstrate that our model improves the reliability of long-term predictions over neural network based alternatives and it successfully handles missing dynamic or static information. Furthermore, we observe that only our model can successfully encapsulate independent dynamics and interaction information in distinct functions and show the benefit from this disentanglement in extrapolation scenarios.

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NeurIPS Conference 2020 Conference Paper

Beyond the Mean-Field: Structured Deep Gaussian Processes Improve the Predictive Uncertainties

Jakob Lindinger
David Reeb
Christoph Lippert
Barbara Rakitsch

Deep Gaussian Processes learn probabilistic data representations for supervised learning by cascading multiple Gaussian Processes. While this model family promises flexible predictive distributions, exact inference is not tractable. Approximate inference techniques trade off the ability to closely resemble the posterior distribution against speed of convergence and computational efficiency. We propose a novel Gaussian variational family that allows for retaining covariances between latent processes while achieving fast convergence by marginalising out all global latent variables. After providing a proof of how this marginalisation can be done for general covariances, we restrict them to the ones we empirically found to be most important in order to also achieve computational efficiency. We provide an efficient implementation of our new approach and apply it to several benchmark datasets. It yields excellent results and strikes a better balance between accuracy and calibrated uncertainty estimates than its state-of-the-art alternatives.

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NeurIPS Conference 2018 Conference Paper

Learning Gaussian Processes by Minimizing PAC-Bayesian Generalization Bounds

David Reeb
Andreas Doerr
Sebastian Gerwinn
Barbara Rakitsch

Gaussian Processes (GPs) are a generic modelling tool for supervised learning. While they have been successfully applied on large datasets, their use in safety-critical applications is hindered by the lack of good performance guarantees. To this end, we propose a method to learn GPs and their sparse approximations by directly optimizing a PAC-Bayesian bound on their generalization performance, instead of maximizing the marginal likelihood. Besides its theoretical appeal, we find in our evaluation that our learning method is robust and yields significantly better generalization guarantees than other common GP approaches on several regression benchmark datasets.

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NeurIPS Conference 2013 Conference Paper

It is all in the noise: Efficient multi-task Gaussian process inference with structured residuals

Barbara Rakitsch
Christoph Lippert
Karsten Borgwardt
Oliver Stegle

Multi-task prediction models are widely being used to couple regressors or classification models by sharing information across related tasks. A common pitfall of these models is that they assume that the output tasks are independent conditioned on the inputs. Here, we propose a multi-task Gaussian process approach to model both the relatedness between regressors as well as the task correlations in the residuals, in order to more accurately identify true sharing between regressors. The resulting Gaussian model has a covariance term that is the sum of Kronecker products, for which efficient parameter inference and out of sample prediction are feasible. On both synthetic examples and applications to phenotype prediction in genetics, we find substantial benefits of modeling structured noise compared to established alternatives.

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