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Balázs Kégl

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ICML Conference 2025 Conference Paper

AdaPTS: Adapting Univariate Foundation Models to Probabilistic Multivariate Time Series Forecasting

  • Abdelhakim Benechehab
  • Vasilii Feofanov
  • Giuseppe Paolo
  • Albert Thomas 0001
  • Maurizio Filippone
  • Balázs Kégl

Pre-trained foundation models (FMs) have shown exceptional performance in univariate time series forecasting tasks. However, several practical challenges persist, including managing intricate dependencies among features and quantifying uncertainty in predictions. This study aims to tackle these critical limitations by introducing adapters —feature-space transformations that facilitate the effective use of pre-trained univariate time series FMs for multivariate tasks. Adapters operate by projecting multivariate inputs into a suitable latent space and applying the FM independently to each dimension. Inspired by the literature on representation learning and partially stochastic Bayesian neural networks, we present a range of adapters and optimization/inference strategies. Experiments conducted on both synthetic and real-world datasets confirm the efficacy of adapters, demonstrating substantial enhancements in forecasting accuracy and uncertainty quantification compared to baseline methods. Our framework, AdaPTS, positions adapters as a modular, scalable, and effective solution for leveraging time series FMs in multivariate contexts, thereby promoting their wider adoption in real-world applications. We release the code at https: //github. com/abenechehab/AdaPTS.

ICLR Conference 2025 Conference Paper

Zero-shot Model-based Reinforcement Learning using Large Language Models

  • Abdelhakim Benechehab
  • Youssef Attia El Hili
  • Ambroise Odonnat
  • Oussama Zekri
  • Albert Thomas 0001
  • Giuseppe Paolo
  • Maurizio Filippone
  • Ievgen Redko

The emerging zero-shot capabilities of Large Language Models (LLMs) have led to their applications in areas extending well beyond natural language processing tasks. In reinforcement learning, while LLMs have been extensively used in text-based environments, their integration with continuous state spaces remains understudied. In this paper, we investigate how pre-trained LLMs can be leveraged to predict in context the dynamics of continuous Markov decision processes. We identify handling multivariate data and incorporating the control signal as key challenges that limit the potential of LLMs' deployment in this setup and propose Disentangled In-Context Learning (DICL) to address them. We present proof-of-concept applications in two reinforcement learning settings: model-based policy evaluation and data-augmented off-policy reinforcement learning, supported by theoretical analysis of the proposed methods. Our experiments further demonstrate that our approach produces well-calibrated uncertainty estimates. We release the code at https://github.com/abenechehab/dicl.

ICML Conference 2024 Conference Paper

Position: A Call for Embodied AI

  • Giuseppe Paolo
  • Jonas Gonzalez-Billandon
  • Balázs Kégl

We propose Embodied AI (E-AI) as the next fundamental step in the pursuit of Artificial General Intelligence (AGI), juxtaposing it against current AI advancements, particularly Large Language Models (LLMs). We traverse the evolution of the embodiment concept across diverse fields (philosophy, psychology, neuroscience, and robotics) to highlight how E-AI distinguishes itself from the classical paradigm of static learning. By broadening the scope of E-AI, we introduce a theoretical framework based on cognitive architectures, emphasizing perception, action, memory, and learning as essential components of an embodied agent. This framework is aligned with Friston’s active inference principle, offering a comprehensive approach to E-AI development. Despite the progress made in the field of AI, substantial challenges, such as the formulation of a novel AI learning theory and the innovation of advanced hardware, persist. Our discussion lays down a foundational guideline for future E-AI research. Highlighting the importance of creating E-AI agents capable of seamless communication, collaboration, and coexistence with humans and other intelligent entities within real-world environments, we aim to steer the AI community towards addressing the multifaceted challenges and seizing the opportunities that lie ahead in the quest for AGI.

ICLR Conference 2021 Conference Paper

Model-based micro-data reinforcement learning: what are the crucial model properties and which model to choose?

  • Balázs Kégl
  • Gabriel Hurtado
  • Albert Thomas 0001

We contribute to micro-data model-based reinforcement learning (MBRL) by rigorously comparing popular generative models using a fixed (random shooting) control agent. We find that on an environment that requires multimodal posterior predictives, mixture density nets outperform all other models by a large margin. When multimodality is not required, our surprising finding is that we do not need probabilistic posterior predictives: deterministic models are on par, in fact they consistently (although non-significantly) outperform their probabilistic counterparts. We also found that heteroscedasticity at training time, perhaps acting as a regularizer, improves predictions at longer horizons. At the methodological side, we design metrics and an experimental protocol which can be used to evaluate the various models, predicting their asymptotic performance when using them on the control problem. Using this framework, we improve the state-of-the-art sample complexity of MBRL on Acrobot by two to four folds, using an aggressive training schedule which is outside of the hyperparameter interval usually considered.

ICML Conference 2013 Conference Paper

Collaborative hyperparameter tuning

  • Rémi Bardenet
  • Mátyás Brendel
  • Balázs Kégl
  • Michèle Sebag

Hyperparameter learning has traditionally been a manual task because of the limited number of trials. Today’s computing infrastructures allow bigger evaluation budgets, thus opening the way for algorithmic approaches. Recently, surrogate-based optimization was successfully applied to hyperparameter learning for deep belief networks and to WEKA classifiers. The methods combined brute force computational power with model building about the behavior of the error function in the hyperparameter space, and they could significantly improve on manual hyperparameter tuning. What may make experienced practitioners even better at hyperparameter optimization is their ability to generalize across similar learning problems. In this paper, we propose a generic method to incorporate knowledge from previous experiments when simultaneously tuning a learning algorithm on new problems at hand. To this end, we combine surrogate-based ranking and optimization techniques for surrogate-based collaborative tuning (SCoT). We demonstrate SCoT in two experiments where it outperforms standard tuning techniques and single-problem surrogate-based optimization.

ICML Conference 2013 Conference Paper

Gossip-based distributed stochastic bandit algorithms

  • Balázs Szörényi
  • Róbert Busa-Fekete
  • István Hegedüs
  • Róbert Ormándi
  • Márk Jelasity
  • Balázs Kégl

The multi-armed bandit problem has attracted remarkable attention in the machine learning community and many efficient algorithms have been proposed to handle the so-called exploitation-exploration dilemma in various bandit setups. At the same time, significantly less effort has been devoted to adapting bandit algorithms to particular architectures, such as sensor networks, multi-core machines, or peer-to-peer (P2P) environments, which could potentially speed up their convergence. Our goal is to adapt stochastic bandit algorithms to P2P networks. In our setup, the same set of arms is available in each peer. In every iteration each peer can pull one arm independently of the other peers, and then some limited communication is possible with a few random other peers. As our main result, we show that our adaptation achieves a linear speedup in terms of the number of peers participating in the network. More precisely, we show that the probability of playing a suboptimal arm at a peer in iteration t = Ω( \log N ) is proportional to 1/(Nt) where N denotes the number of peers. The theoretical results are supported by simulation experiments showing that our algorithm scales gracefully with the size of network.

JMLR Journal 2012 Journal Article

MULTIBOOST: A Multi-purpose Boosting Package

  • Djalel Benbouzid
  • Róbert Busa-Fekete
  • Norman Casagrande
  • François-David Collin
  • Balázs Kégl

The MULTIBOOST package provides a fast C++ implementation of multi-class/multi-label/multi-task boosting algorithms. It is based on ADABOOST.MH but it also implements popular cascade classifiers and FILTERBOOST. The package contains common multi-class base learners (stumps, trees, products, Haar filters). Further base learners and strong learners following the boosting paradigm can be easily implemented in a flexible framework. [abs] [ pdf ][ bib ] [ code ] &copy JMLR 2012. ( edit, beta )

NeurIPS Conference 2011 Conference Paper

Algorithms for Hyper-Parameter Optimization

  • James Bergstra
  • Rémi Bardenet
  • Yoshua Bengio
  • Balázs Kégl

Several recent advances to the state of the art in image classification benchmarks have come from better configurations of existing techniques rather than novel approaches to feature learning. Traditionally, hyper-parameter optimization has been the job of humans because they can be very efficient in regimes where only a few trials are possible. Presently, computer clusters and GPU processors make it possible to run more trials and we show that algorithmic approaches can find better results. We present hyper-parameter optimization results on tasks of training neural networks and deep belief networks (DBNs). We optimize hyper-parameters using random search and two new greedy sequential methods based on the expected improvement criterion. Random search has been shown to be sufficiently efficient for learning neural networks for several datasets, but we show it is unreliable for training DBNs. The sequential algorithms are applied to the most difficult DBN learning problems from [Larochelle et al. , 2007] and find significantly better results than the best previously reported. This work contributes novel techniques for making response surface models P (y|x) in which many elements of hyper-parameter assignment (x) are known to be irrelevant given particular values of other elements.

ICML Conference 2009 Conference Paper

Boosting products of base classifiers

  • Balázs Kégl
  • Róbert Busa-Fekete

In this paper we show how to boost products of simple base learners. Similarly to trees, we call the base learner as a subroutine but in an iterative rather than recursive fashion. The main advantage of the proposed method is its simplicity and computational efficiency. On benchmark datasets, our boosted products of decision stumps clearly outperform boosted trees, and on the MNIST dataset the algorithm achieves the second best result among no-domain-knowledge algorithms after deep belief nets. As a second contribution, we present an improved base learner for nominal features and show that boosting the product of two of these new subset indicator base learners solves the maximum margin matrix factorization problem used to formalize the collaborative filtering task. On a small benchmark dataset, we get experimental results comparable to the semi-definite-programming-based solution but at a much lower computational cost.

NeurIPS Conference 2007 Conference Paper

Learning the 2-D Topology of Images

  • Nicolas Roux
  • Yoshua Bengio
  • Pascal Lamblin
  • Marc Joliveau
  • Balázs Kégl

We study the following question: is the two-dimensional structure of images a very strong prior or is it something that can be learned with a few examples of natural images? If someone gave us a learning task involving images for which the two-dimensional topology of pixels was not known, could we discover it automatically and exploit it? For example suppose that the pixels had been permuted in a fixed but unknown way, could we recover the relative two-dimensional location of pixels on images? The surprising result presented here is that not only the answer is yes but that about as few as a thousand images are enough to approximately recover the relative locations of about a thousand pixels. This is achieved using a manifold learning algorithm applied to pixels associated with a measure of distributional similarity between pixel intensities. We compare different topology-extraction approaches and show how having the two-dimensional topology can be exploited.

NeurIPS Conference 2004 Conference Paper

Boosting on Manifolds: Adaptive Regularization of Base Classifiers

  • Ligen Wang
  • Balázs Kégl

In this paper we propose to combine two powerful ideas, boosting and manifold learning. On the one hand, we improve ADABOOST by incor- porating knowledge on the structure of the data into base classifier design and selection. On the other hand, we use ADABOOST's efficient learn- ing mechanism to significantly improve supervised and semi-supervised algorithms proposed in the context of manifold learning. Beside the spe- cific manifold-based penalization, the resulting algorithm also accommo- dates the boosting of a large family of regularized learning algorithms. 1 Introduction ADABOOST [1] is one of the machine learning algorithms that have revolutionized pattern recognition technology in the last decade. The algorithm constructs a weighted linear com- bination of simple base classifiers in an iterative fashion. One of the remarkable properties of ADABOOST is that it is relatively immune to overfitting even after the training error has been driven to zero. However, it is now a common knowledge that ADABOOST can overfit if it is run long enough. The phenomenon is particularly pronounced on noisy data, so most of the effort to regularize ADABOOST has been devoted to make it tolerant to outliers by either "softening" the exponential cost function (e. g. , [2]) or by explicitly detecting outliers and limiting their influence on the final classifier [3]. In this paper we propose a different approach based on complexity regularization. Rather than focusing on possibly noisy data points, we attempt to achieve regularization by fa- voring base classifiers that are smooth in a certain sense. The situation that motivated the algorithm is not when the data is noisy, rather when it has a certain structure that is ignored by ordinary ADABOOST. Consider, for example, the case when the data set is em- bedded in a high-dimensional space but concentrated around a low dimensional manifold (Figure 1(a)). ADABOOST will compare base classifiers based on solely their weighted errors so, implicitly, it will consider every base classifier having the same (usually low) complexity. On the other hand, intuitively, we may hope to achieve better generalization if we prefer base classifiers that "cut through" sparse regions to base classifiers that cut into "natural" clusters or cut the manifold several times. To formalize this intuition, we use the graph Laplacian regularizer proposed in connection to manifold learning [4] and spectral clustering [5] (Section 3). For binary base classifiers, this penalty is proportional to the number of edges of the neighborhood graph that the classifier cuts (Figure 1(b)). (a) (b) Figure 1: (a) Given the data, the vertical stump has a lower "effective" complexity than the horizontal stump. (b) The graph Laplacian penalty is proportional to the number of separated neighbors. To incorporate this adaptive penalization of base classifiers into ADABOOST, we will turn to the marginal ADABOOST algorithm [6] also known as arc-gv [7]. This algorithm can be interpreted as ADABOOST with an L1 weight decay on the base classifier coefficients with a weight decay coefficient. The algorithm has been used to maximize the hard margin on the data [7, 6] and also for regularization [3]. The coefficient is adaptive in all these applications: in [7] and [6] it depends on the hard margin and the weighted error, respectively, whereas in [3] it is different for every training point and it quantifies the "noisiness" of the points. The idea of this paper is to make dependent on the individual base classifiers, in particular, to set to the regularization penalty of the base classifier. First, with this choice, the objective of base learning becomes standard regularized error minimization so the proposed algorithm accommodates the boosting of a large family of regularized learning algorithms. Second, the coefficients of the base classifiers are lowered proportionally with their complexity, which can be interpreted as an adaptive weight decay. The formulation can be also justified by theoretical arguments which are sketched after the formal description of the algorithm in Section 2. Experimental results (Section 4) show that the regularized algorithm can improve general- ization. Even when the improvement is not significant, the difference between the training error and the test error decreases significantly and the final classifier is much sparser than ADABOOST's solution, both of which indicate reduced overfitting. Since the Laplacian penalty can be computed without knowing the labels, the algorithm can also be used for semi-supervised learning. Experiments in this context show that algorithm besignificantly the semi-supervised algorithm proposed in [4]. 2 The REGBOOST algorithm For the formal description, let the training data be Dn = (x1, y1), .. ., (xn, yn) where data points (xi, yi) are from the set Rd {-1, 1}. The algorithm maintains a weight distri- bution w(t) = w(t) 1, .. ., w(t) n over the data points. The weights are initialized uniformly in line 1 (Figure 2), and are updated in each iteration in line 10. We suppose that we are given a base learner algorithm BASE Dn, w, P () that, in each iteration t, returns a base classifier h(t) coming from a subset of H = h: Rd {-1, 1}. In ADABOOST, the goal of the base classifier is to minimize the weighted error n = (t)(h) = w(t)I {h(x i i) = yi}, 12 i=1 1The indicator function I{A} is 1 if its argument A is true and 0 otherwise. 2We will omit the iteration index (t) and the argument (h) where it does not cause confusion. REGBOOST Dn, BASE(, , ), P (), , T 1 w (1/n, .. ., 1/n) 2 for t 1 to T 3 h(t) BASE Dn, w(t), P () n 4 (t) w(t)h(t)(x i i)yi edge i=1 5 (t) 2P (h(t)) edge offset 1 1 + (t) 1 - (t) 6 (t) ln base coefficient 2 1 - (t) 1 + (t) 7 if (t) 0 base error (1 - (t))/2 8 return f (t-1)() = t-1 (j)h(j)() j=1 9 for i 1 to n exp -(t)h(t)(xi)yi 10 w(t+1) w(t) i i n w(t) exp - (t)h(t)(x j=1 j j )yj 11 return f (T )() = T (t)h(t)() t=1 Figure 2: The pseudocode of the REGBOOST algorithm with binary base classifiers. Dn is the training data, BASE is the base learner, P is the penalty functional, is the penalty coefficient, and T is the number of iterations. which is equivalent to maximizing the edge = 1 - 2 = n w(t)h(x i=1 i i)yi. The goal of REGBOOST's base learner is to minimize the penalized cost 1 1 R1(h) = (h) + P (h) = - ( - ), (1) 2 2 where P: H R is an arbitrary penalty functional or regularization operator, provided to REGBOOST and to the base learner, is the penalty coefficient, and = 2P (h) is the edge offset. Intuitively, the edge quantifies by how much h is better than a random guess, while the edge offset indicates by how much h(t) must be better than a random guess. This means that for complex base classifiers (with large penalties), we require a better base classification than for simple classifiers. The main advantage of R1 is that it has the form of conventional regularized error minimization, so it accommodates the boosting of all learning algorithms that minimize an error functional of this form (e. g. , neural networks with weight decay). However, the minimization of R1 is suboptimal from boosting's point of view. 3 If computationally possible, the base learner should minimize 1 - 1+ 1- 1 + 1+ 1 - 1- R2(h) = 2 =. (2) 1 + 1 - 1 + 1 - 3This statement along with the formulae for R1, R2, and (t) are explained formally after Theo- rem 1. After computing the edge and the edge offset in lines 4 and 5, the algorithm sets the coef- ficient (t) of the base classifier h(t) to 1 1 + (t) 1 1 + (t) (t) = ln - ln. (3) 2 1 - (t) 2 1 - (t) In line 11, the algorithm returns the weighted average of the base classifiers f (T )() = T (t)h(t)() as the combined classifier, and uses the sign of f (T )(x) to classify x. t=1 The algorithm must terminate if (t) 0 which is equivalent to (t) (t) and to (t) (1-(t))/2. 4 In this case, the algorithm returns the actual combined classifier in line 8. This means that either the capacity of the set of base classifiers is too small ((t) is small), or the penalty is too high ((t) is high), so we cannot find a new base classifier that would improve the combined classifier. Note that the algorithm is formally equivalent to ADABOOST if (t) 0 and to marginal ADABOOST if (t) is constant. For the analysis of the algorithm, we first define the unnormalized margin achieved by f (T ) on (xi, yi) as i = f (T )(xi)yi, and the (normalized) margin as T (t)h(t)(x i t=1 i)yi i = =, (4) T 1 (t) t=1 where 1 = T (t) is the L t=1 1 norm of the coefficient vector. Let the average penalty or margin offset be defined as the average edge offset T (t)(t) = t=1. (5) T (t) t=1 The following theorem upper bounds the marginal training error n 1 L()(f (T )) = I n i L()(f (T )) e(t)(t) w(t)e-(t)h(t)(xi)yi = E(t) (t), h(t). (7) i t=1 i=1 t=1 Proof. The proof is an extension of the proof of Theorem 5 in [8]. n T T 1 L()(f (T )) = I (t) - (t)h(t)(x n i)yi 0 (8) i=1 t=1 t=1 n 1 e PT (t)-PT (t)h(t)( t=1 t=1 xi)yi (9) n i=1 T n n = e PT (t) t=1 w(t)e-(t)h(t)(xj)yj w(T +1). (10) j i t=1 j=1 i=1 4Strictly speaking, (t) = 0 could be allowed but in this case the (t) would remain 0 forever so it makes no sense to continue. In (8) we used the definitions (6) and (4), the inequality (9) holds since ex I{x 0}, and we obtained (10) by recursively applying line 10 in Figure 2. The theorem follows by the definition (5) and since n w(T +1) = 1. i=1 i First note that Theorem 1 explains the base objectives (1) and (2) and the base coefficient (3). The goal of REGBOOST is the greedy minimization of the exponential bound in (7), that is, in each iteration we attempt to minimize E(t) (, h). Given h(t), E(t), h(t) is minimized by (3), and with this choice for (t), R2(h) = E(t) (t), h, so the base learner should attempt to minimize R2(h). If this is computationally impossible, we follow Mason et al. 's functional gradient descent approach [2], that is, we find h(t) by maximizing the negative gradient - E(t)(, h) in = 0. Since - E(t)(, h) = -, this criterion is =0 equivalent to the minimization of R1(h). 5 Theorem 1 also suggests various interpretations of REGBOOST which indicate why it would indeed achieve regularization. First, by (9) it can be seen that REGBOOST directly minimizes n 1 exp - n i + 1, i=1 which can be interpreted as an exponential cost on the unnormalized margin with an L1 weight decay. The weight decay coefficient is proportional to the average complexity of the base classifiers. Second, Theorem 1 also indicates that REGBOOST indirectly min- imizes the marginal error L()(f (T )) (6) where the margin parameter, again, is moving adaptively with the average complexity of the base classifiers. This explanation is sup- ported by theoretical results that bound the generalization error in terms of the marginal error (e. g. , Theorem 2 in [8]). The third explanation is based on results that show that the difference between the marginal error and the generalization error can be upper bounded in terms of the complexity of the base classifier class H (e. g. , Theorem 4 in [9]). By imposing a non-zero penalty on the base classifiers, we can reduce the pool of admissible functions to those of which the edge is larger than the edge offset. Although the theoretical results do not apply directly, they support the empirical evidence (Section 4) that indicate that the reduction of the pool of admissible base classifiers and the sparsity of the combined classifier play an important role in decreasing the generalization error. Finally note that the algorithm can be easily extended to real-valued base classifiers along the lines of [10] and to regression by using the algorithm proposed in [11]. If base clas- sifiers come from the set {h: Rd R}, we can only use the base objective R1(h) (1), and the analytical solution (3) for the base coefficients (t) must be replaced by a simple numerical minimization (line search) of E(t), h(t). 6 In the case of regression, the bi- nary cost function I {h(x) = y} should be replaced by an appropriate regression cost (e. g. , quadratic), and the final regressor should be the weighted median of the base regressors instead of their weighted average. 3 The graph Laplacian regularizer The algorithm can be used with any regularized base learner that optimizes a penalized cost of the form (1). In this paper we apply a smoothness functional based on the graph 5Note that if is constant (ADABOOST or marginal ADABOOST), the minimization of R1(h) and R2(h) leads to the same solution, namely, to the base classifier that minimizes the weighted error. This is no more the case if depends on h. 6As a side remark, note that applying a non-zero (even constant) penalty would provide an alternative solution to the singularity problem ((t) = ) in the abstaining base classifier model of [10]. Laplacian operator, proposed in a similar context by [4]. The advantage of this penalty is that it is relatively simple to compute for enumerable base classifiers (e. g. , decision stumps or decision trees) and that it suits applications where the data exhibits a low dimensional manifold structure. Formally, let G = (V, E) be the neighborhood graph of the training set where the vertex set V = {x1, .. ., xn} is identical to the set of observations, and the edge set E contains pairs of "neighboring" vertices (xi, xj) such that either xi - xj n n 1 2 PL(h) = h(x W 2| i) - h(xj ) ij, W| i=1 j=i+1 where W is the adjacency matrix of G, that is, Wij = I (xi, xj) E, and 2|W| = 2 n n W i=1 j=1 ij is a normalizing factor so that 0 PL(h) 1. 7 For binary base classifiers, PL(h) is proportional to the number of separated neighbors, that is, the number of connected pairs that are classified differently by h. Let the diagonal matrix D defined by Dii = n W j=1 ij, and let L = D - W be the graph Laplacian of G. Then it is easy to see that n 2|W|PL(h) = hLhT = h, Lh = i h, ei, j=1 where h = h(x1), .. ., h(xn), and ei and i are the (normalized) eigenvectors and eigen- values of L, that is, Lei = iei, ei = 1. Since L is positive definite, all the eigenvalues are non-negative. The eigenvectors with the smallest eigenvalues can be considered as the "smoothest" functions on the neighborhood graph. Based on this observation, [4] proposed to learn a linear combination of a small number of the eigenvectors with the smallest eigen- values. One problem of this approach is that the out-of-sample extension of the obtained classifier is non-trivial since the base functions are only known at the data points that par- ticipated in forming the neighborhood graph, so it can only be used in a semi-supervised settings (when unlabeled test points are known before the learning). Our approach is based on the same intuition, but instead of looking for a linear combination of the eigenvectors, we form a linear combination of known base functions and penalize them according to their smoothness on the underlying manifold. So, beside semi-supervised learning (explored in Section 4), our algorithm can also be used to classify out-of-sample test observations. The penalty functional can also be justified from the point of view of spectral clustering [5]. The eigenvectors of L with the smallest eigenvalues8 represent "natural" clusters in the data set, so PL(h) is small if h is aligned with these eigenvectors, and PL(h) is large if h splits the corresponding clusters. 7Another variant (that we did not explore in this paper) is to weight edges decreasingly with their lengths. 8Starting from the second smallest; the smallest is 0 and it corresponds to the constant func- tion. Also note that spectral clustering usually uses the eigenvectors of the normalized Laplacian e L = D-1/2LD-1/2. Nevertheless, if the neighborhood graph is constructed by connecting a fixed number of nearest neighbors, Dii is approximately constant, so the eigenvectors of L and e L are approximately equal. 4 Experiments In this section we present experimental results on four UCI benchmark datasets. The re- sults are preliminary in the sense that we only validated the penalty coefficient, and did not optimize the number of neighbors (set to k = 8) and the weighting scheme of the edges of the neighborhood graph (Wij = 0 or 1). We used decision stumps as base classifiers, 10-fold cross validation for estimating errors, and 5-fold cross validation for determining. The results (Figure 3(a)-(d) and Table 1) show that the REGBOOST consistently improves generalization. Although the improvement is within the standard deviation, the difference between the test and the training error decreases significantly in two of the four experi- ments, which indicates reduced overfitting. The final classifier is also significantly sparser after 1000 iterations (last two columns of Table 1). To measure how the penalty affects the base classifier pool, in each iteration we calculated the number of admissible base classi- fiers relative to the total number of stumps considered by ADABOOST. Figure 3(e) shows that, as expected, REGBOOST traverses only a (sometimes quite small) subset of the base classifier space. (a) (b) (c) ionosphere breast cancer sonar 0. 25 0. 09 0. 6 training error (AdaBoost) training error (AdaBoost) training error (AdaBoost) test error (AdaBoost) test error (AdaBoost) test error (AdaBoost) training error (RegBoost) 0. 08 training error (RegBoost) training error (RegBoost) test error (RegBoost) test error (RegBoost) 0. 5 test error (RegBoost) 0. 2 0. 07 0. 06 0. 4 0. 15 0. 05 0. 3 0. 04 0. 1 0. 03 0. 2 0. 02 0. 05 0. 1 0. 01 0 0 0 1 10 100 1000 1 10 100 1000 1 10 100 1000 t t t pima indians diabetes rate of admissible stumps semi-supervised ionosphere 0. 35 1 0. 2 training error (AdaBoost) ionosphere training error (AdaBoost) test error (AdaBoost) breast cancer test error (AdaBoost) training error (RegBoost) 0. 9 sonar 0. 18 training error (RegBoost) test error (RegBoost) pima indians diabetes test error (RegBoost) 0. 3 0. 16 0. 8 0. 14 0. 7 0. 25 0. 12 0. 6 0. 1 0. 5 0. 2 0. 08 0. 4 0. 06 0. 3 0. 15 0. 04 0. 2 0. 02 0. 1 0. 1 0 1 10 100 1000 1 10 100 1000 1 10 100 1000 t t t (d) (e) (f) Figure 3: Learning curves. Test and training errors for the (a) ionosphere, (b) breast cancer, (c) sonar, and (d) Pima Indians diabetes data sets. (e) Rate of admissible stumps. (f) Test and training errors for the ionosphere data set with 100 labeled and 251 unlabeled data points. data set training error test error # of stumps ADAB REGB ADAB REGB ADAB REGB ionosphere 0% 0% 9. 14% (7. 1) 7. 7% (6. 0) 182 114 breast cancer 0% 2. 44% 5. 29% (3. 5) 3. 82% (3. 7) 58 30 sonar 0% 0% 32. 5% (19. 8) 29. 8% (18. 8) 234 199 Pima Indians 10. 9% 16. 0% 25. 3% (5. 3) 23. 3% (6. 8) 175 91 Table 1: Errors rates and number of base classifiers after 1000 iterations. Since the Laplacian penalty can be computed without knowing the labels, the algorithm can also be used for semi-supervised learning. Figure 3(f) shows the results when only a subset of the training points are labeled. In this case, REGBOOST can use the combined data set to calculate the penalty, whereas both algorithms can use only the labeled points to determine the base errors. Figure 3(f) indicates that REGBOOST has a clear advantage here. REGBOOST is also far better than the semi-supervised algorithm proposed in [12] (their best test error using the same settings is 18%).

NeurIPS Conference 2004 Conference Paper

Generalization Error and Algorithmic Convergence of Median Boosting

  • Balázs Kégl

We have recently proposed an extension of ADABOOST to regression that uses the median of the base regressors as the final regressor. In this paper we extend theoretical results obtained for ADABOOST to median boosting and to its localized variant. First, we extend recent results on ef- ficient margin maximizing to show that the algorithm can converge to the maximum achievable margin within a preset precision in a finite number of steps. Then we provide confidence-interval-type bounds on the gener- alization error.

JMLR Journal 2002 Journal Article

Data-dependent margin-based generalization bounds for classification

  • András Antos
  • Balázs Kégl
  • Tamás Linder
  • Gábor Lugosi

We derive new margin-based inequalities for the probability of error of classifiers. The main feature of these bounds is that they can be calculated using the training data and therefore may be effectively used for model selection purposes. In particular, the bounds involve empirical complexities measured on the training data (such as the empirical fat-shattering dimension) as opposed to their worst-case counterparts traditionally used in such analyses. Also, our bounds appear to be sharper and more general than recent results involving empirical complexity measures. In addition, we develop an alternative data-based bound for the generalization error of classes of convex combinations of classifiers involving an empirical complexity measure that is easier to compute than the empirical covering number or fat-shattering dimension. We also show examples of efficient computation of the new bounds.

NeurIPS Conference 2002 Conference Paper

Intrinsic Dimension Estimation Using Packing Numbers

  • Balázs Kégl

We propose a new algorithm to estimate the intrinsic dimension of data sets. The method is based on geometric properties of the data and re- quires neither parametric assumptions on the data generating model nor input parameters to set. The method is compared to a similar, widely- used algorithm from the same family of geometric techniques. Experi- ments show that our method is more robust in terms of the data generating distribution and more reliable in the presence of noise.

NeurIPS Conference 1998 Conference Paper

A Polygonal Line Algorithm for Constructing Principal Curves

  • Balázs Kégl
  • Adam Krzyzak
  • Tamás Linder
  • Kenneth Zeger

Principal curves have been defined as "self consistent" smooth curves which pass through the "middle" of a d-dimensional probability distri(cid: 173) bution or data cloud. Recently, we [1] have offered a new approach by defining principal curves as continuous curves of a given length which minimize the expected squared distance between the curve and points of the space randomly chosen according to a given distribution. The new definition made it possible to carry out a theoretical analysis of learning principal curves from training data. In this paper we propose a practical construction based on the new definition. Simulation results demonstrate that the new algorithm compares favorably with previous methods both in terms of performance and computational complexity.

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